2026-01-13 13:28:17

Macroeconomic Events Drive the Market

CME has recently announced significant adjustments to precious metals contracts. The margin requirements for gold, silver, platinum, and palladium have shifted from fixed USD amounts to a percentage of the contract's notional value. Specifically, the gold margin has been adjusted to approximately 5%, while silver is around 9%. This change took effect after the market close on January 13 local time.

Higher margin requirements can encourage market participants to adopt a more rational approach to precious metal positions. Meanwhile, global trade tensions continue to escalate. According to the latest news, any country engaging in commercial dealings with Iran will face a 25% tariff when doing business with the United States. This policy is described as "final and non-negotiable." As a result, the international energy markets reacted swiftly—Brent crude oil futures and WTI crude oil futures both rose by over 1%.

Such retaliatory policies often lead to sharp volatility in global commodity markets. Closed-door policymaking is unhelpful for market stability and may instead exacerbate risk spillover effects.

**Technical Analysis**

Ethereum: Uncertainty in the international situation continues to suppress price performance. Currently, it is oscillating at low levels without clear momentum for a breakout.

Gold: Despite multiple disturbances, capital inflows persist, pushing prices to break previous highs again. In the short term, watch for oscillation opportunities on pullbacks.

**Operational Framework Reference**

Ethereum: Consider long positions around 3070, targeting the 3160 area.

Gold: Consider short entries at 4595 points, with initial take-profit at 4555. After a rebound, continue to look for shorting opportunities, with further take-profit levels at 4520.

At the start of the new year, market sentiment is hot, but volatility has increased. Pay attention to risk management when holding positions.

ETH1,43%

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LightningHarvester

· 01-13 13:58

Gold is about to take off again, 5% margin really drove out the leverage traders haha --- Iran sanctions immediately boosted commodities, the trade war isn't over yet --- Is ETH still struggling? Feels like there's no strength to push upward --- Trying a short at 4595, but these days the market is too greedy, still need to be cautious --- The energy sector is indeed showing signs of movement, a rise of over 1% in crude oil is outrageous, all caused by policies --- The New Year has such huge volatility, I don't even dare to add to my positions --- Re-enter around 3970 after a pullback in gold? Feels like the rebound is too fast --- Trade policies cause a full splash, this market is really frustrating

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FlashLoanKing

· 01-13 13:57

CME's recent margin adjustment is indeed quite harsh, calculated proportionally... this makes it even harder for retail investors to succeed. The recent influx of funds into gold is just ridiculous, breaking previous highs and still aiming to surge? Looks like it's destined for greatness. ETH is still dithering around, when will it finally break out? I really don't understand what's going on with Iran... can they stop the 25% tariffs as retaliation?

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SeasonedInvestor

· 01-13 13:56

The US is playing a strong game, directly choking... Gold is taking off again, this wave of bears should be cautious, brothers.

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BlockchainRetirementHome

· 01-13 13:55

Gold seems really poised to take off this time, and the influx of funds is no joke. ETH is still in a state of confusion; wait for a clear signal before jumping in. The US tariffs really stirred up the global market; energy commodities are the first to react. I'm waiting on the 4595 short position; I feel the pullback space hasn't fully played out yet. Raising margin requirements isn't very friendly to retail investors; leverage has been compressed, so be more cautious. The trade war is getting more intense, and with increased market volatility, quick stop-losses are essential. Don't gamble against the market.

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LostBetweenChains

· 01-13 13:30

Gold is about to surge again, with funds pouring in crazily. It feels like it's about to reach a limit, haha.

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NewPumpamentals

· 01-13 13:28

Margin requirements are rising again, and leverage space is being squeezed... How can small investors play like this? --- Once sanctions on Iran were imposed, the energy sector exploded. Luckily, I stocked some crude oil futures. --- Gold broke new highs. Is this for real this time? Or is it just another sell-off... --- ETH is still lying flat at 3070. It's getting annoying to watch. When will the breakthrough happen, brother? --- Shorting gold at 4595? Feels a bit risky. What about the rebound potential... --- The trade war escalation has thrown the market into chaos. At this point, daring to be fully invested might be madness. --- It's the same old rhetoric, closed-door planning... In the end, it's still us retail investors who get hurt.

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