#密码资产动态追踪 Tonight at 9:30 PM, the US December CPI data will be released! The whole internet is holding its breath, but don’t just watch the fun—there’s a lot to learn here. Last month, the wave just subsided, and this month, expectations are for a rebound? Let’s break it down:
**Point 1: The "trick" behind the data** Year-over-year data rebounding is mostly due to a low base last year. The real focus should be on the month-over-month increase and core CPI. If rent and service prices are still rising, then inflation’s "resilience" is confirmed—much more dangerous than the surface numbers suggest.
**Point 2: Market sentiment is already "turning hostile"** Non-farm payrolls surged last month, and with the turmoil around Powell, hopes for a rate cut in March are basically dashed. So if tonight’s data isn’t much better than expected, the market will breathe a sigh of relief; but if inflation explodes again, it’s like the house is leaking and it’s raining—be prepared for big volatility.
**Point 3: What should retail investors do?** Don’t get caught up! This game is driven entirely by news, and it’s hard to tell what’s real. My simple advice: don’t gamble on the data, don’t chase highs or sell lows. Manage your positions well, keep some ammunition in hand, and wait until the trend is truly established before making a move. Remember, you’re making money from the trend, not guessing the size of the data.
Right now, high interest rates and long cycles might be the new normal. Are you going to keep watching, or prepare for an ambush? Share your thoughts in the comments.
**Risk warning**: This article is for market observation and analysis only and does not constitute any investment advice. Invest cautiously.
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DeFi_Dad_Jokes
· 9h ago
Core CPI is the real tough player; the year-over-year number is purely misleading.
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SelfCustodyIssues
· 11h ago
Core CPI is the real one. Everyone can play the same old number game with year-over-year figures.
View OriginalReply0
ReverseTradingGuru
· 01-15 01:10
Month-over-month is the real deal; the year-over-year comparison with that baseline game has been played out.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketHustler
· 01-13 13:49
Core CPI is the real boss; who believes the same old数字游戏 (digital game) in year-over-year comparisons is foolish.
View OriginalReply0
OnlyUpOnly
· 01-13 13:45
That's so true. The core CPI is the real weakness; the stickiness of rent is truly terrifying.
View OriginalReply0
SwapWhisperer
· 01-13 13:37
Core CPI is the real knife; the year-over-year number is purely to deceive oneself.
View OriginalReply0
MysteriousZhang
· 01-13 13:33
Month-over-month is the real deal; I'm already tired of the same old year-over-year number games. It's troublesome if rent is still sticking around.
#密码资产动态追踪 Tonight at 9:30 PM, the US December CPI data will be released! The whole internet is holding its breath, but don’t just watch the fun—there’s a lot to learn here. Last month, the wave just subsided, and this month, expectations are for a rebound? Let’s break it down:
**Point 1: The "trick" behind the data**
Year-over-year data rebounding is mostly due to a low base last year. The real focus should be on the month-over-month increase and core CPI. If rent and service prices are still rising, then inflation’s "resilience" is confirmed—much more dangerous than the surface numbers suggest.
**Point 2: Market sentiment is already "turning hostile"**
Non-farm payrolls surged last month, and with the turmoil around Powell, hopes for a rate cut in March are basically dashed. So if tonight’s data isn’t much better than expected, the market will breathe a sigh of relief; but if inflation explodes again, it’s like the house is leaking and it’s raining—be prepared for big volatility.
**Point 3: What should retail investors do?**
Don’t get caught up! This game is driven entirely by news, and it’s hard to tell what’s real. My simple advice: don’t gamble on the data, don’t chase highs or sell lows. Manage your positions well, keep some ammunition in hand, and wait until the trend is truly established before making a move. Remember, you’re making money from the trend, not guessing the size of the data.
Right now, high interest rates and long cycles might be the new normal. Are you going to keep watching, or prepare for an ambush? Share your thoughts in the comments.
**Risk warning**: This article is for market observation and analysis only and does not constitute any investment advice. Invest cautiously.