2026-01-13 08:33:05

Interesting observation: VanEck recently suggested that the classic four-year cycle theory of Bitcoin might become invalid in 2025. What does this mean? Simply put, investors should be more cautious in the next 3 to 6 months. Although signals regarding fiscal and monetary policies are gradually becoming clearer, this has made the market more complex—you need stronger judgment to distinguish between true and false signals. In other words, you can no longer rely solely on historical cycle patterns to bet on BTC trends; you need to depend more on your own analysis and risk awareness.

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BlockchainGriller

· 15h ago

The four-year cycle failed? Then we, who rely on historical patterns to make a living, need to wake up. We really have to start thinking for ourselves.

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StopLossMaster

· 18h ago

Four-year cycle invalid? Now you really have to rely on your brain. Don't just lie flat and wait for signals anymore.

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FortuneTeller42

· 20h ago

Four-year cycle invalid? Ha, I'm already tired of this explanation. In the end, it's all about gambling anyway.

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CounterIndicator

· 01-14 15:10

Four-year cycle invalid? Fine, then we have to roll up our sleeves and do it ourselves. The era of just lying back and relying on patterns to make money is over.

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ZkProofPudding

· 01-13 09:03

Four-year cycle invalid? Haha, this just got interesting. Those who rely on historical patterns to make a living need to wake up.

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WenAirdrop

· 01-13 09:02

Four-year cycle invalid? To be honest, I’ve felt something was off about this for a long time. Now that the macro environment has changed, the market rules will definitely change too.

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SchroedingerAirdrop

· 01-13 08:58

Cycle invalidation? Ha, now it's even more about relying on your skills. The days of making a living based on patterns are over.

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HodlTheDoor

· 01-13 08:52

Has the four-year cycle become invalid? Hmm, it seems this theory was always a hindsight strategy. It should have been obvious that we needed to rely on our own analysis all along.

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BlockchainFoodie

· 01-13 08:46

honestly the four-year cycle breaking is kinda like when your sourdough starter suddenly refuses to ferment on schedule... means you gotta stop trusting the recipe and actually understand what's happening in the kitchen, y'know?

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