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#技术分析 Seeing this on-chain data report for Shiba Inu, I immediately recalled some memories from the 2017-2018 cycle. Back then, there were countless claims of "dead coins," and the result? Some projects indeed didn't make it through, but others experienced an unexpected revival after surviving the darkest moments.
The most interesting part of this report is the contradiction within the data. On the surface, it clearly signals a decline—price drops over 90%, the speculative frenzy has dissipated, futures traders have been reducing their positions throughout the year, and market dominance is noticeably weakening. But looking deeper, the number of holders increased from 1.46 million to 1.54 million, large holders' balances grew by 249%, and tokens flowed out of exchanges by 22%. These signs tell another story.
The key question is, who is buying? The data shows that whales and long-term holders are accumulating at low levels, rather than quick-profit traders. I've seen this pattern several times—when speculators exit entirely, true accumulators quietly position themselves, often indicating that something is brewing.
But I have to be honest, it's still too early to draw conclusions. The real watershed is the breakout of the descending wedge at $0.0000092. If it can't break through, the "dead coin" theory might hold water. If it does, combined with a cyclical recovery in alternative coins, this could be a classic turnaround from decline to revival. History has shown me that the fate of such projects often hinges on just a few key price points. All we can do now is wait and see how the data validates this.