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#美国政府停摆 Seeing this news about the US government shutdown, I can't help but recall the long shutdown of 2018-2019 that lasted 35 days. At that time, the crypto market was deep in a bear market, with the price of Bitcoin dropping to around $3,000. Interestingly, that shutdown did not have much of an impact on the crypto market; instead, after it ended, the market began to slowly recover.
This time, the temporary bill can only last until the end of January next year, at which point we may face another round of shutdown crisis. Based on historical experience, short-term government shutdowns have limited impact on the crypto market. However, if the crisis drags on for too long, it could trigger broader economic uncertainty, thereby affecting investor sentiment.
It is worth noting the conflict between progressives and moderate Democrats in this shutdown crisis. Intensifying political divisions may lead to more frequent shutdown risks in the future. For crypto investors, it is important to closely monitor this political risk, as it could affect regulatory policies and the overall economic environment.
Overall, although the crypto market may not be significantly affected in the short term, frequent government shutdowns will undoubtedly increase market uncertainty in the long run. We should learn from history and consider this cyclical political risk in our investment strategies.