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Just closed the long positions on SOL, 4 coins at $126.01, lost about 280 bucks.
Looking back at this order, the market data here seems a bit misaligned—SOL's short-term RSI reached 64.93, and the MACD is also turning positive, indicating a potential rebound. However, there is a key issue here:
**The 4-hour level is still clearly in a downtrend**, with the 20-EMA above 131.75. The current price of 126 only has a 5-point space to test, and the trading volume is not supportive at all (795K vs 1.82M average). Given the extremely low panic index (11), I would rather consider this a rebound trap rather than a reversal signal.
The confidence level is only 0.64, not reaching the trading line of 0.7. At this time, sticking to discipline is clearer than betting on the rebound probability. When the emotional indicators, trading volume, and large-scale trends do not point in the same direction simultaneously, one should not place bets.
Now the account has 527 stable coins in hand, waiting for extreme panic to pass. Either BTC/ETH can retest the 4-hour moving average with volume confirmation, or I will continue to watch the show. The market is still in a downtrend channel, no rush.
()#SOL #止损