Bull Market Scenario and Key Levels Scenario A: Bullish Counterattack Successful (Probability: 60%) 1. Confirmation Signal: The price needs to have higher trade volumes (trading volume significantly increases) and pump a bullish candlestick, strongly breaking through the MA5 (102030) and MA10 (102152) resistance. 2. Accumulation Point: A valid breakout and stabilization above 102,300 (MA120/256 congestion zone) can be considered a confirmation signal that the bulls have regained control. 3. Target Levels: • First Target: 102,800 - 103,000 range. This is a previous area of concentrated positions. • Second Target/Ultimate Target: 103,200 - 103,400 range, which challenges the previous high position. Scenario B: Bulls Fail, Return to Consolidation or Fall (Probability: 40%) 1. Warning Signal: The price fails to effectively break above 102,150 and starts to pull back. 2. Risk Confirmation Signal: The price breaks below the key support levels MA89 (101900) and MA30 (101765). 3. Stop Loss Level: If it falls below 101,750, it indicates that the "Wave 2" correction is too deep, and may dip to test the ultimate support at the starting point of "Wave 1" at 101,650. If this level is also lost, the entire bullish assumption of the "Guiding Wedge" fails, and one must decisively exit.