Bull Market Scenario Analysis and Key Levels Scenario A: Bullish Counterattack Successful (Probability: 60%) 1. Confirmation Signal: Price needs to have higher trade volumes (significant increase in trading volume) to push up a bullish candle, strongly breaking through the resistance of MA5 (102030) and MA10 (102152). 2. Additional Positioning Point: A valid breakout and stabilization above 102,300 (MA120/256 accumulation zone) can be seen as a confirmation signal that the bulls have taken control again. 3. Target Levels: • First Target: 102,800 - 103,000 range. This is the previous accumulation zone. • Second Target/Ultimate Target: 103,200 - 103,400 range, which challenges the previous high position. Scenario B: Bullish Failure, Returning to Consolidation or Decline (Probability: 40%) 1. Warning Signal: Price fails to effectively break through 102,150 and starts to retract. 2. Risk Confirmation Signal: Price breaks below the key support MA89 (101900) and MA30 (101765). 3. Stop Loss Level: If it falls below 101,750, it means that "Wave 2" has retraced too deep, potentially dipping to test the ultimate support at the starting point of "Wave 1" at 101,650. If this level is also lost, the entire "Guiding Wedge" bullish hypothesis is invalidated, and one must decisively exit.