Gate News reports that on March 19, according to PolyBeats monitoring, an address with 86% accuracy in the political sector on the prediction market Polymarket invested $6,600 to buy “Yes” on the question “Will Trump visit China before July?” Currently, the probability of “Yes” for this event is 79%.
Trump previously publicly requested to postpone his China visit by “five to six weeks” and emphasized that China and the U.S. have good working relations. China has “no objection” to the decision to delay the trip.
With the U.S. midterm elections approaching in November, Trump needs to achieve results in areas such as China-U.S. trade and agricultural exports.
Note: Based on this trader’s past trading profile, they are not betting on whether the event will actually happen; they may close positions for profit or loss at certain times after opening.
Account address: 0xf92a950992181e21874dd1b36c7e5666c443a517.