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Federal Reserve’s May Rate Cut Probability Falls to Just 6%: Crypto Market Outlook Driven by Waller Hearing and FOMC

Federal Reserve’s May Rate Cut Probability Falls to Just 6%: Crypto Market Outlook Driven by Waller Hearing and FOMC

Federal Reserve Chair nominee Waller is scheduled to attend a confirmation hearing on April 21. The FOMC will meet on April 28–29. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate cut in May stands at approximately 6%. This article breaks down the dual shifts in policy and examines their impact on crypto assets.

Blog Team2026-04-20

The Federal Reserve Chair Nomination Hearing Takes Place Tonight: How Will Kevin Warsh’s Monetary Policy Stance Impact the Crypto Market?

The Federal Reserve Chair Nomination Hearing Takes Place Tonight: How Will Kevin Warsh’s Monetary Policy Stance Impact the Crypto Market?

Boosted by the ceasefire news, derivatives pricing showed the implied probability of a Fed rate cut this year surged from 14% to 43%.

Blog Team2026-04-17

CPI Rises to 3.3% and Oil Price Shock: Fed Turns More Hawkish, Rate Cut Expectations Delayed, Crypto Liquidity Under Pressure

CPI Rises to 3.3% and Oil Price Shock: Fed Turns More Hawkish, Rate Cut Expectations Delayed, Crypto Liquidity Under Pressure

This article offers an in-depth analysis of how the crypto market is navigating rate cut expectations amid three major macroeconomic pressures. It examines the structural impact of a liquidity vacuum on Bitcoin and explores potential future developments.

Blog Team2026-04-16

Why Didn’t the Crypto Market Drop Despite Missed Rate Cut Expectations? A Deep Dive into the "Desensitization" Logic of Fed Policy

Why Didn’t the Crypto Market Drop Despite Missed Rate Cut Expectations? A Deep Dive into the "Desensitization" Logic of Fed Policy

The probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in April stands at 98.4%. While expectations for rate cuts continue to be pushed back, the crypto market is undergoing a structural shift in its pricing logic.

Blog Team2026-04-16

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Gate x Polymarket: How Many Times Will the Fed Cut Rates in 2026?

Gate x Polymarket: How Many Times Will the Fed Cut Rates in 2026?

As of April 16, 2026, market expectations for the number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts within the year have dropped sharply from 2–3 at the beginning of the year to just 0–1.

Blog Team2026-04-16

Gate Earn: Asset Allocation Strategies for Principal-Protected and Floating Yield Products Amid Diverging Rate Cut Expectations

Gate Earn: Asset Allocation Strategies for Principal-Protected and Floating Yield Products Amid Diverging Rate Cut Expectations

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the allocation strategies behind Gate’s principal-protected and floating-yield financial products. It covers tools such as HODL & Earn, Fixed-Term Finance, Private Wealth Management, Dual Currency Investment, and Range Smart Win. The article offers two reference frameworks: one prioritizing capital preservation and the other balan

Blog Team2026-04-13

Interpreting the Latest Fed Meeting Minutes: How Will Bitcoin Respond When Rate Cut Expectations Hit Zero?

Interpreting the Latest Fed Meeting Minutes: How Will Bitcoin Respond When Rate Cut Expectations Hit Zero?

Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have nearly vanished, and the ongoing high interest rate environment will continue to weigh on crypto asset valuations. This article offers an in-depth analysis of the repricing dynamics for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

Blog Team2026-04-09

The Federal Reserve Releases Meeting Minutes Tonight: Crypto Market Rate Cut Expectations Reach a Decisive Stage

The Federal Reserve Releases Meeting Minutes Tonight: Crypto Market Rate Cut Expectations Reach a Decisive Stage

The Federal Reserve will release the minutes from its March meeting tonight. Markets are closely watching for insights on the Fed’s stance toward inflation, its assessment of the impact of ongoing conflicts, and any signals regarding the path of interest rate cuts. This article analyzes the key highlights from the minutes and explores potential trends for crypto assets under both

Blog Team2026-04-08

In-Depth Analysis of Diverging Interest Rate Expectations: Investment Banks Hold Firm on Rate Cut Bets While Markets Price in a Year Without Easing

In-Depth Analysis of Diverging Interest Rate Expectations: Investment Banks Hold Firm on Rate Cut Bets While Markets Price in a Year Without Easing

Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Barclays still forecast two rate cuts in 2026, but CME FedWatch now shows that the market is no longer pricing in any easing. Just how wide is the gap among the three major interest rate outlooks? How should crypto assets respond to this unprecedented level of macroeconomic uncertainty?

Blog Team2026-04-08