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Polymarket FOMC Data Signals No Rate Change: How Prediction Markets Uncover Macro Consensus Ahead of Time

Polymarket FOMC Data Signals No Rate Change: How Prediction Markets Uncover Macro Consensus Ahead of Time

Polymarket data shows a greater than 99% probability that the FOMC will hold interest rates steady. This article analyzes capital flows and major bets in prediction markets to explore how Polymarket reveals broader macro sentiment—and examines its potential impact on the crypto market.

Blog Team2026-03-17

War and Bitcoin: How Have Crypto Markets Recovered After Major Geopolitical Conflicts Throughout History?

War and Bitcoin: How Have Crypto Markets Recovered After Major Geopolitical Conflicts Throughout History?

A Look Back at Bitcoin’s Performance Since the 2026 US-Iran Conflict: From $60,000 to $74,000—Comparing the Russia-Ukraine Playbook and Analyzing How Geopolitical Shocks Drive Crypto Market Recovery and Structural Change

Blog Team2026-03-17

# Change at the Helm of the Federal Reserve: What Does Kevin Warsh’s Appointment Mean for the Crypto Market?

# Change at the Helm of the Federal Reserve: What Does Kevin Warsh’s Appointment Mean for the Crypto Market?

With the upcoming change in Federal Reserve leadership, nominee Kevin Warsh’s proposal to "cut interest rates while shrinking the balance sheet" has drawn significant attention. This article examines how his policy framework could structurally impact liquidity in the crypto market, along with the potential risks and opportunities it presents.

Blog Team2026-03-17

Banks May Become Crypto Exchanges: How the Cryptocurrency Market in Russia May Change

Banks May Become Crypto Exchanges: How the Cryptocurrency Market in Russia May Change

Russia’s regulatory model is gradually taking shape as a system of controlled cryptocurrency circulation. The state does not impose a complete ban on digital assets but seeks to integrate their circulation into the existing financial system.

Blog Team2026-03-12

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A Historic Buy Signal? BTC Ahr999 Indicator Falls Below 0.3, Returns to February 6 Lows

A Historic Buy Signal? BTC Ahr999 Indicator Falls Below 0.3, Returns to February 6 Lows

The Bitcoin Ahr999 Index has fallen below 0.3 and is approaching its year-to-date low from February 6. This shift is more than just a change in numbers—it represents an intense clash between market sentiment and long-term value.

Blog Team2026-02-25

Ethereum Foundation Leadership Change: Tomasz Stańczak Steps Down as ETH Price Surges Past $2,000

Ethereum Foundation Leadership Change: Tomasz Stańczak Steps Down as ETH Price Surges Past $2,000

This article analyzes how the EF leadership reshuffle impacts the Ethereum ecosystem and the price of ETH.

Blog Team2026-02-14

Nonfarm Payrolls Shatter Rate Cut Expectations, Yet the White House Says There's Plenty of Room: What Are Traders Betting On?

Nonfarm Payrolls Shatter Rate Cut Expectations, Yet the White House Says There's Plenty of Room: What Are Traders Betting On?

When economic data doesn’t support rate cuts but policymakers remain determined to lower rates, whom should the market follow? For the past fifteen years, the answer has been "follow the Federal Reserve." However, in 2026, the White House is trying to change that answer.

Blog Team2026-02-12

Will Gate BTC Mining Rewards Change? An In-Depth Analysis of Key Impacts During the Halving Cycle

Will Gate BTC Mining Rewards Change? An In-Depth Analysis of Key Impacts During the Halving Cycle

Gate’s BTC mining product offers users a "device-free mining" solution.

Blog Team2026-02-11

Export of Cash Rubles from Russia: What Will Change in 2026

Export of Cash Rubles from Russia: What Will Change in 2026

In 2026, Russia is planning changes to the regulation of cross-border cash movements.

Blog Team2026-02-06