【$DOT Short Selling Strategy Update】 🟢 Result: 0.89 → 0.50, a 21.10% decline confirming the bearish logic. 🟡 Action: Recommend taking 80% profit, move the stop-loss on the remaining 20% to the cost price (break-even). 🔴 Reminder: Do not chase the short, wait for the next signal. Opportunities are every day, preserving capital is the most important. ‍$BTC $ETH

June 13 $BTC Comprehensive Market Analysis 🤯 News Sentiment: June 12 surrounding news: Market关注SpaceX IPO related (such as natural gas suppliers benefiting), overall stock market/crypto analysis videos, and Trump-related updates. No significant major negative news, but macro uncertainties (geopolitical, policy) still exist. June continues the pressure from May, Strategy small-scale BTC sales once triggered panic (but the company subsequently net bought), signs of distribution among institutions/whales are evident. The positive side is corporate adoption continues (such as large companies holding positions), and potential regulatory/adoption news (like the CLARITY Act). Overall news is neutral to slightly weak, dominated by FUD but without a crash. 🤯 Capital Flow: ETF Flows: Early June faced heavy pressure, with a record 13 consecutive days of outflows (total in the billions), significant weekly outflows in May/early June (up to hundreds of millions to billions per week). Data from June 12 shows slight net inflow (around +$28M , contributed by BlackRock IBIT, etc.), but overall still trending outflow (AUM decreasing). This reflects profit-taking or rotation by institutions, but also some bottom-fishing. Derivatives funding rates have recently been negative or low, indicating leverage shorts dominate, sometimes accompanied by liquidations (mainly longs). Whales/long-term holders have sold some, but retail/spot buying provides support. Overall, the capital environment remains a short-term pressure source, but negative funding rates often indicate potential for rebound. 🤯 Technical Analysis: At this position, I still see a slight rebound after oversold conditions, but after the rebound, attention should be paid to a downward divergence phase, so the key focus now is on the 4-hour and daily levels. On the 4-hour chart, MACD has already risen above the zero line; on the daily chart, a golden cross is imminent, but the strength of the cross won't be very strong. It needs to move downward into a divergence to push the bulls higher. In summary, over the weekend, watch whether the 64,000 level can hold; if it does, expect continued oscillation upward; if not, expect fluctuations around 60,000-64,000. As a long-term DCA investor (such as those favoring rational strategies like BTC/ETH), the current environment is suitable for phased accumulation, emphasizing position discipline and risk control. Data-driven approach, DYOR, monitor next week's ETF data, macro indicators, and on-chain flows. Market sentiment is already pessimistic, often a turning point.

$RIF This wave of rally is quite strong, those who got in earlier should be feeling pretty comfortable now. When the market just started moving in the previous wave, I kept an eye on around 0.0673, and I noticed signs of capital inflow in the market. The price retraced without breaking support and then started pushing upward. At that time, I didn't hesitate and went long immediately. Currently, the price has reached 0.08297, with a profit of +458.79%, so that previous judgment has been realized. There's no need to hold on stubbornly here; take 85% profit now and keep 15% to see if there are further opportunities later. That's how contracts work—protect your profits first, and let the remaining volatility play out on its own. If you missed the entry, wait for the next round. $BTC $ETH