ZhangShuofeng

Today, the data on long-term Bitcoin holders has once again hit a new all-time high—currently, 14,945,950 BTC (accounting for 74.54% of the circulating supply) have an average holding period of over 155 days.
This data confirms that long-term holders are continuing to accumulate. Looking back to early June, influenced by tense US-Iran relations, BTC experienced a pullback, and long-term holders slightly reduced their holdings, while exchange reserves increased. However, as the US signaled a move toward full peace, this "smart money" quickly returned, resuming buying activity.
Note: The "long-t

BTC Market Analysis 2026.06.16
The two levels mentioned yesterday for BTC were both hit precisely?
Tested 67,300✅ The daily close also just below 66,300✅
The upcoming days' market is very critical, directly determining the next 40-60 days' trend:
If the decline from 59,100-67,300 is a rebound targeting the blue segment in Chart 2, its structure is already complete. The daily close is below 64,000, and before 8 a.m. on June 22, Gann time, it cannot break through the blue Gann angle line 2/1 (66,400); otherwise, the rebound may end;
In the following days, if the daily candles close above 66,400

I have to admit, this time Trump "guessed" right again. Just yesterday, the market was generally skeptical about signing on Sunday due to Israel's disruptions and Iran's tough stance, but the plot has now reversed.
Although the terms announced by Iran seem to put the U.S. on the back foot (even mentioning war reparations), Trump has not acknowledged that this is the final agreement. However, this no longer matters. Trump has announced that all details will be released after the signing on Friday. For the market, the specific content of the agreement is not crucial; what matters is whether the

Last Friday, Trump announced that peace talks are almost finalized, with a 70-80% chance of signing an agreement over the weekend, and the market immediately responded positively, with BTC finally ending its net outflow.
But I looked at the data, and this rally seems more like a "news-driven rebound" rather than a "crazy bull run driven by funds." Why do I say that? Because traditional investors haven't really jumped in. The logic is simple: even if BTC is now at the floor price, look at the US stock market— even buying index funds, this year's growth potential looks more stable than in the cr

Although Bitcoin on-chain data has performed steadily this week, the capital flow for ETH spot ETFs shows signs of fatigue. Notably, both BlackRock and Grayscale have recorded net inflows in Bitcoin products, while Ethereum continues to face ongoing net redemptions. This clearly reflects that: currently, traditional incremental funds are highly concentrated in Bitcoin, and there is still weak willingness to allocate to other altcoins.
However, the current selling pressure has not significantly intensified, suggesting that market holdings are still mainly in the hands of long-term holders, with

ETH Market Analysis 2026.06.15
On June 1st, it was pointed out that ETH's decline was not over yet and a target of 1500 was given. Subsequently, ETH dropped from 2020 to 1505. Currently, since rebounding from 1505, the increase has reached over 16%, and this week we will closely monitor this level:
The green Gann angle line on 3/1 is currently at 1790. If this line can be broken this week, the rebound still has momentum, and the 1500 rebound level may expand into a full correction against the red segment of the chart. After breaking and stabilizing above 1790, closely watch 1860-1902; in terms

BTC Market Analysis 2026.06.15
Last week, the importance of the Green Gann angle line 3/1 (60,800) and the Blue Gann angle line 2/1 (66,300) was emphasized. Subsequently, BTC fell to 60,800 and rebounded. At the same time, the group was notified to close most of the short positions.
Currently, BTC is near the Blue Gann angle line 2/1. What’s the outlook?
Recently, pay attention to whether the daily candlestick can close above 66,300. If it closes above and the pullback does not break the daily low of 59,100, then the rebound starting from 59,100 could expand into a correction targeting the ove

Just received the news, both Trump and the Pakistani Prime Minister are hinting that the peace agreement between the US and Iran might be signed this Sunday.
But what about Iran? Their stance is a bit different—only saying "ready to sign," not confirming the signing on Sunday.
So now, this situation has turned into a game of "Truth or Dare," where we still have to guess who’s being genuine and who’s not.
But I have a sense of what's really going on. No matter what the terms are, the probability of it actually being signed is quite high. The only variable is whether it gets stuck on signing thi

MSTR Market Analysis 2026.06.12
From a fundamental perspective, the core issue for MSTR is not the disappearance of the BTC narrative but rather the simultaneous pressure on the stock price from three dimensions: BTC price decline, rising financing costs, and shrinking valuation premiums.
The company is still executing the main strategy of "continuously increasing BTC holdings," but this also brings a problem—MSTR is too heavily affected by BTC price fluctuations. In Q1, due to a decline in BTC's fair value, the company recorded a large unrealized loss, with net losses reaching $12.54 billion.

Pop Mart 9992 Market Analysis 2026.06.12
Since breaking in from the low point, Pop Mart has now gained over 26%. Next, focus on the 187.2 level; if it can hold above this level, there is still upward momentum.

ETH Market Analysis 2026.06.12
The Green Gann Angle 3/1 is the dividing line for ETH's price trend; it should be closely watched in the coming days!
Next, we focus on the Green Gann Angle 3/1 (1790) in Chart 1; only if the price stabilizes above the rebound level starting at 1505 will it expand (as shown in the red box). Under this path, the decline will come to an end, and the rebound can last until late June or early July. Otherwise, the movement will only be a rebound against the blue segment of the decline shown in the blue box, and after the rebound ends, it will continue to seek a bottom

BTC Market Analysis 2026.06.12
As shown in Figure 1, the blue Gann angle line 2/1 rebounded from 60,000 to 82,850 after the first test failed to break it. Now BTC is below this level, and this line (66,300) has become an important resistance level.
For the right-side confirmation signal on whether the decline that began with the drop from 82,850 has already ended—based on whether BTC can break and stay above the blue Gann angle line 2/1—so long as it does not hold above it, the rebound level starting from 59,130 cannot be expanded. Then, the decline that began at 82,850 has not ended yet. You

GOOG Google Market Analysis 2026.06.11
Since the update in 2025, I have repeatedly told everyone that Google is one of the assets I am very optimistic about, and it is also a high-quality asset I have been steadily increasing my holdings and holding firmly. Today, I will review Google's structure through a daily chart of candlesticks:
Unlike the storage sector and most U.S. stocks that have already begun a large-scale adjustment, Google's adjustment level still remains uncertain. As long as the pullback starting from 404.47 does not fall below the 311-300 range, the movement may still be a cor

Since last year to this year, the financial markets have almost repeatedly experienced retail investors getting liquidated every so often. The second half of 2025 is expected to see a surge in cryptocurrencies, early 2026 in precious metals, and recently, U.S. stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies have all been declining together.
On the surface, it seems to be due to international situations, inflation, and policy expectations, but deeper down, it’s the cyclical laws at work.
The most frightening thing in trading is not misjudging the direction but losing control of positions and leverage. Many

BTC Market Analysis 2026.06.11
Since May, I have been continuously increasing positions to short; in the video on June 7th, I mentioned that there was a rebound here. The subsequent rebound reached 64,200 before turning into consolidation, with the price not reaching the key resistance levels (65,800-66,600). On the downside, it has never broken below the critical Gann angle support levels (60,400-60,600). What’s the next move?
The trading logic I always emphasize is to only act at key levels. If you can stack key Gann timing, that’s even better. The best current approach is to wait until BTC

XAU Gold Market Analysis 2026.06.11
The major level of gold is shown in Chart 1. The decline starting from 5600 is a correction of the entire upward move in Chart 1. After finding the correction endpoint, it will continue to reach new highs. However, it is important to be cautious because this correction level is large, belonging to the weekly timeframe.
The daily structure division is shown in Chart 2. As previously mentioned, once 4268 is broken, the rebound may have already ended at 4891, and the movement starting from 4891 is a new decline. Last night’s break below 4100 also confirmed this

COIN Market Analysis 2026.06.10
Since the article on April 30th where the structure of Coinbase was analyzed, the overall trend has been in line with expectations. Now, starting from a smaller timeframe, a detailed breakdown is provided:
As shown in the figure, the move from 139 in COIN is a rebound, targeting the black segment of the decline shown in the chart. After the rebound ends, it will continue to decline to find a bottom.
On the 4-hour timeframe, there are two possible future trends:
Red: The movement starting from 139 is a three-wave rebound structure. 139-222 is the first wave, and

CPI data has landed. Although it matched expectations, inflation has returned to a high of 4.2%, which still leaves one gasping.
The market had previously been wildly confident about the “Trump effect,” with even some statistics claiming that he himself announced 28 victories. However, the reality is that the Strait of Hormuz remains tightly locked. Oil prices not only failed to be brought down, but are even higher than they were during the Biden period—this is a pretty loud slap in the face.
The upcoming monetary policy meeting is destined to be tough. Stop fantasizing about rate cuts in 2026

BTC Market Analysis 2026.06.10
Previously, I repeatedly emphasized the importance of the Green Gann angle line 3/1 (60,800). After testing this level last night, there was a V-shaped reversal, but the current momentum isn't very optimistic. What's the outlook now?
Today’s observation point remains at 60,800. The four-hour candlestick body has continuously closed below this level, which will become a resistance. If it cannot break above later, then a small rebound (shown in the blue box) from around 59,130 might occur, targeting only the downward blue segment shown in the chart. This path will