Polymarket Reappears as the "Prophet Emperor": 6 New Accounts Precisely Bet on US Striking Iran, Profiting Over One Million Dollars

Market news reports that according to on-chain analysis firm Bubblemaps, several highly suspicious transactions and bets appeared on the prediction market platform Polymarket yesterday.

Six newly created contract accounts in February placed bets that "the US will strike Iran before February 28," collectively earning $1.2 million.

On-chain data shows that these six accounts were all opened in February of this year, with highly targeted betting strategies, focusing solely on the possible timing window of US strikes.

Interestingly, some of the positions in these bets were rapidly established just hours before reports of explosions in Tehran. Some accounts even bought large quantities at a low price of about $0.10 each, resulting in very low purchase costs.

Analysis indicates that this phenomenon is similar to another insider trading case in January, where an account precisely bet on Venezuelan President Maduro's ousting and also profited significantly.

Although there is currently no evidence pointing to specific manipulators, on-chain data has raised suspicions. The combination of new accounts, single events, and precise entry before explosions makes it hard to explain as mere coincidence.

Overall, this marks the second time in just two months that the prediction market Polymarket has been shadowed by rumors of insider trading, following the Maduro bet incident in January.

#内幕交易 # Prediction Market