2026-2-26 Strong rotation, watch more and move less to control positions, wait for the cycle

[Guba]
Although today was subjective very uncomfortable. During the trading session, I also judged that the main upward move 2 could not be confirmed. But the actual data replay shows a strong main upward trend. So let’s respect the data first.
On the third day of the main upward move 2, today’s volume shrank while rising, breaking through the new high level on the left side. This will create very strong selling pressure. According to past conventions, after three days of initiation, divergence is inevitable. So tomorrow, I suggest observing more and acting less.

From the perspective of themes and sentiment, the strongest yesterday was chemical price hikes. It opened high and then plunged, with a large retracement at midday, making it seem like it was over. I stopped paying attention after 2 PM, but unexpectedly it rallied at the close, and the pattern looked much better. This means it cannot be disproved, and there are still expectations for tomorrow. However, the two 3-board stocks still haven’t experienced explosive volume, so tomorrow I recommend waiting for a volume surge before observing whether core funds return to drive the sector. Conservative traders might wait until next Monday to see if the weak turns strong, which would be much safer.
Today’s strongest sector was still NVIDIA’s AI hardware series. The breadth has improved, but the strength is much weaker. High-level stocks are hesitant to push higher. For example, Changfei Optical Fiber, Honghe Technology, and Tiantian Fushitong all experienced significant pullbacks. So tomorrow, this sector will be about divergence, and since it’s closely related to the index, it could drag the index and sentiment down. From this perspective,
the sentiment divergence expectation for tomorrow is quite high.

From a super-short-term relay perspective, yesterday’s stocks that kept climbing even after hitting the limit, even if they hit the limit again, showed no obvious negative feedback. Although the mid-tier stocks’ success rate dropped significantly, the lack of negative feedback is the best feedback. Mainly because of the weak-to-strong shift of the top limit stock Yunei Energy. So tomorrow, I will keep an eye on it. But if it shows serious abnormal movement, I don’t recommend participating; wait until its abnormal movement subsides and consider adding positions the next day. Today, it successfully broke through, so today’s first limit-up stock is a key point. Tomorrow, the plan is to consider a 1-to-2 position increase.

Tomorrow’s plan:

1. Observe Yunei Energy’s outcome; as long as there’s no obvious negative feedback, it’s fine.
2. Appropriately open a 1-to-2 position, betting on the key node. Avoid large positions and high prices.
3. Continue building positions in Fenglong Shares. Watch the outcome of Western Pattern and Re Sheng Technology.
4. If Yunei Energy shows no obvious negative feedback, consider a volume surge and turnover to re-encapsulate the chemical sector with a 3-to-4 position increase.