#预测市场 The prediction market is in trouble again, here are some lessons every crypto enthusiast should learn. That guy made $400,000 by exploiting insider information on Polymarket, but now a US lawmaker has announced plans to ban this kind of activity—government officials and decision-makers are off-limits, and trading with non-public information will be illegal.

What is the core principle for us crypto enthusiasts? Low cost, high return, but compliance is essential. This incident gives us three insights:

**First, the prediction market is very complex**. The mainstream and insider circles are profiting here, and ordinary users find it hard to detect hidden unfair information.

**Second, projects on the rise are prone to failure**. Platforms like Polymarket are now facing strict regulation, so don’t be blinded by high returns and rush in.

**Third, compliance is the guarantee for long-term gains**. Once legal boundaries are clear, illegal operations immediately become high risk. We should focus our efforts on transparent, compliant projects with clear interaction tasks, so we can earn steadily.

It is recommended that everyone avoid complex prediction market strategies in the near future and return to basic airdrops—filling out forms, interacting, simple trading. This is the most cost-effective way to earn. Compliant trading is the key to lasting success.