As of 07:30 on January 15, 2026, BTC is currently trading at $96,800-$97,000, with a 24H increase of approximately 3.8% and a 7D increase of about 7.2%. The overall trend shows a strong upward surge with high-level oscillations, short-term technical corrections are alert, and the medium-term trend remains bullish. Below is the core analysis and operational reference.

1. Core Price Levels and Market Sentiment

• Key Support: $95,000-$95,500 (short-term strength/weakness boundary), $94,000-$94,500 (4-hour EMA support), $92,800-$93,000 (daily line of life).

• Key Resistance: $97,500-$97,800 (intraday strong resistance), $100,000 (psychological barrier at round number).

• Funds and Sentiment: Spot ETF net inflow of about $760 million in one day, institutional buying support; 4-hour RSI overbought, initial divergence observed, short-term correction pressure rising.

2. Technical Overview

• Daily Chart: EMA diverging upward, MACD continues to expand, main trend bullish; upper Bollinger Band at $95,800 turning into support, upper band resistance at $97,500.

• 4-Hour Chart: RSI near 90 overbought, divergence + KDJ turning at high levels, correction risk increasing, support at $95,000 and $94,000.

• Overall: Medium-term bullish trend unchanged, short-term may see pullback; correction to key supports can be opportunistic for low entry, chasing highs requires strict position control.

3. Drivers and Risks

• Positive Drivers: ① BTC leading the rally, driving the crypto market, clear capital rotation; ② Continuous ETF fund inflows, strong buying support; ③ Macro sentiment relatively warm (moderate inflation data), risk asset preference rising.

• Main Risks: ① 4-hour divergence triggering technical correction; ② Macro black swan events like Japan rate hikes impacting risk assets; ③ Concentrated selling pressure at $97,500-$100,000, profit-taking may intensify volatility.

4. Trading Strategy

1. Short-term: Stabilize above $95,000-$95,500 to attempt light long positions, target $97,500, stop-loss at $94,200; if breaking above $97,800 and confirming pullback, aim for $100,000 round number.

2. Pullback: Drop below $95,000, observe or wait for $94,000-$94,500 to go long; if losing $93,000, be alert to trend weakening, reduce positions promptly to avoid risk.

3. Risk Management: Position size ≤30%, single trade stop-loss 4%-5%; in black swan events, prioritize exiting and observing, avoid extreme volatility.

Would you like me to organize the key price levels and corresponding operations into a one-page actionable trading checklist (including entry/stop-loss/target/position size), so you can follow it directly? $BTC