2026-01-13 13:30:10

Tonight at 9:30, the CPI data will be the first major inflation indicator of 2026, directly affecting the sentiment of the US stock market, the US dollar, gold, and the entire crypto market. The A-shares market will also fluctuate accordingly.

Based on current expectations, the market reaction generally falls into three categories:

The most likely scenario is around 2.7%, which is in line with expectations—under this condition, the market will show a neutral to slightly bearish trend, with sentiment oscillating as it searches for direction.

If the data comes in higher, around 2.8%-2.9%, with hawkish signals, it will be clearly bearish and put significant pressure on the market.

Conversely, if the data is below 2.5%, indicating dovish signals, it will be relatively bullish and provide some breathing room for risk assets.

Most of the time, the trend will be in line with expectations. In this case, opening a short position and following the momentum, then closing it after the reaction, is a more stable strategy. Pay close attention to the performance of main cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, and SOL.

BTC3,24%

ETH5,11%

SOL1,75%

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OnchainGossiper

· 13m ago

Once again, this kind of data trend, just betting on the spread is enough, don't bother too much. The short position has been opened, just waiting for the 2.7% outcome. CPI is about to cause trouble again, when will my BTC be able to have two quiet days? Above 2.8 will directly explode, don't regret not reducing your position then. Dovish is good, what we want is a chance to catch our breath. This guy SOL has been too unstable lately, wait until after reviewing the data before acting. It's boring when it meets expectations, just hoping that below 2.5 can bring some fireworks. Usually, whatever is said is wrong, but this rhythm is working well. With this order book, short positions are a stable strategy, I believe in this time. If BTC falls below, I will be stunned.

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RebaseVictim

· 23h ago

Hold the short position steady, the CPI keeps bouncing around these few numbers, don't get shaken out.

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TokenTherapist

· 23h ago

Short position is being ambushed; at 2.7, I admit defeat. Only dare to go long after breaking 2.5... Anyway, it always meets expectations, so bored to death.

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DegenWhisperer

· 23h ago

Damn, I have to stay up late to check the data again. This rhythm is really incredible. Are the short positions so stable? Why do I always operate in the opposite direction... Will 2.7 come or not? I'm just worried it will hit 2.9 and wipe me out. BTC has to hold up, or it's really over. The most disgusting thing is when it meets expectations—no profit, no loss, just watching the show.

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GasFeeTherapist

· 23h ago

Once again, data gambling, this time betting on CPI... Basically, it's still about the Fed's stance. Waiting to see, if it breaks 2.8, I'll be liquidated immediately. 2.7 is the most boring, nothing at all, sideways trading is the most torturous. How is BTC doing right now? Let me check the candlestick chart... Are short positions really safe at this time? I always go against the trend and end up making money.

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GateUser-afe07a92

· 23h ago

The short position is stable this time, just waiting to see if the CPI behaves obediently. It's another wave of volatility, but it aligns with the most probable expectations. I'm not daring to hold a heavy position in BTC. There's a 2.7% chance it will stay like this; a boring market is coming. Below 2.5%? Dream on, inflation doesn't behave that obediently. ETH performance is poor; after this CPI, it probably will drop again. Looking at these few coins, what has SOL been up to lately? The safest bet is to follow expectations, go short, and wait for a reversal.

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MemecoinTrader

· 01-13 13:36

ngl the real alpha is betting on consensus collapse when cpi prints... everyone's gonna frontrun the same play lmao

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