As the eve of the election approaches, Wall Street is starting to ponder again—recent signals from Trump have been interpreted by investment banks as one thing: big stimulus to boost the economy.
From calls to cut interest rates to measures to limit credit card interest rates, the logic behind this combination of policies is clear—maintain economic activity and reduce living costs for the public. What’s the result? Cyclical stocks are set to rebound, while defensive sectors should take a back seat. Industrial, materials, and non-essential consumer goods sectors are all on the buy list of investment banks.
Raymond James’s latest report directly concludes: with policy tailwinds and signals to promote growth, an economic cycle recovery is inevitable. UBS is more straightforward, saying this is an election-driven move; the core factors influencing voter preferences are prices, mortgage rates, and oil prices.
Many worry that Trump’s proposed cap on credit card interest rates could hit bank stocks, but JPMorgan Chase sees further ahead—this is short-term pain, and actually an opportunity to buy bank stocks. Meanwhile, they remain optimistic about cyclical stocks, reasoning that falling inflation can still leave room for economic stimulus.
Of course, BTIG has issued a warning about a risk: the S&P 500 is approaching the 7000-point mark, and historically, five times it has hit this level, four times it has pulled back. But the consensus among institutions remains—the short-term volatility shouldn’t scare you. With growth-promoting policies and corporate earnings supporting the market, cyclical stocks are likely to be the main players in this round of market activity.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
12 Likes
Reward
12
3
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
CryptoFortuneTeller
· 01-13 13:54
I'm tired of this Wall Street rhetoric; they spin the same story before every election.
It's either cyclical stocks making a comeback or banking stocks offering opportunities, but in the end, it's just more chives being harvested.
The S&P 500 hitting 7000 will eventually pull back; this time, it won't be any different.
View OriginalReply0
MEVVictimAlliance
· 01-13 13:50
It's the same old trick again. Investment banks are just following Trump's lead. Can cyclical stocks really rise this time? I just can't believe it.
View OriginalReply0
TokenTherapist
· 01-13 13:47
It's the same old story; investment banks just know how to hype cyclical stocks. Can banks really bottom fish? I'm skeptical.
As the eve of the election approaches, Wall Street is starting to ponder again—recent signals from Trump have been interpreted by investment banks as one thing: big stimulus to boost the economy.
From calls to cut interest rates to measures to limit credit card interest rates, the logic behind this combination of policies is clear—maintain economic activity and reduce living costs for the public. What’s the result? Cyclical stocks are set to rebound, while defensive sectors should take a back seat. Industrial, materials, and non-essential consumer goods sectors are all on the buy list of investment banks.
Raymond James’s latest report directly concludes: with policy tailwinds and signals to promote growth, an economic cycle recovery is inevitable. UBS is more straightforward, saying this is an election-driven move; the core factors influencing voter preferences are prices, mortgage rates, and oil prices.
Many worry that Trump’s proposed cap on credit card interest rates could hit bank stocks, but JPMorgan Chase sees further ahead—this is short-term pain, and actually an opportunity to buy bank stocks. Meanwhile, they remain optimistic about cyclical stocks, reasoning that falling inflation can still leave room for economic stimulus.
Of course, BTIG has issued a warning about a risk: the S&P 500 is approaching the 7000-point mark, and historically, five times it has hit this level, four times it has pulled back. But the consensus among institutions remains—the short-term volatility shouldn’t scare you. With growth-promoting policies and corporate earnings supporting the market, cyclical stocks are likely to be the main players in this round of market activity.