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India's Central Bank May Soon Raise Rates as May CPI Hits 3.9%, Capitec Predicts 75bp Hike to 6% in 2026

2026-06-15 06:57:06

According to Capitec Economics analyst Shilan Shah on June 15, India's central bank may soon begin raising its policy rate as inflationary pressures accumulate. May's consumer price index climbed to 3.9%, marking the highest reading since February 2025, though still below the central bank's 4% target. The acceleration is being driven primarily by fuel inflation, with gasoline prices rising for four consecutive months. Capitec expects the Reserve Bank of India to hike rates by 75 basis points during 2026, bringing the policy rate to 6.00%.

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