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Fed Rate-Hold Probability Surges in July and September After Jobs Report

GateNews
Forex
Following the July non-farm payroll release on July 3, market expectations have shifted significantly, with the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates steady in both July and September increasing sharply. According to market analysis, the latest employment data triggered a reassessment of policy expectations, reducing bets on additional rate cuts in the near term. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank's recent June rate hike was confirmed as the right decision by ECB President Christine Lagarde, who noted that supply-side pressures continue to transmit through the economy. The yield curve adjustments underscore the divergent policy trajectories between major central banks amid persistent inflation concerns.
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