Crypto Talks with Xingge|ETH drops to 1,870—why didn’t I choose to chase a short?
The big-picture trend is bearish, and that’s fine, but for short-term trading you can’t look at only one direction.
Many people see ETH falling from around 1,980 down to 1,870 and their first reaction is:
“It’s down—then keep shorting.”
But trading isn’t as simple as seeing a drop and immediately chasing shorts.
When ETH tested around 1,980 yesterday, my thinking was also to short at the high.
Because it’s close to the 2,000 whole-number level, and the breakout strength wasn’t enough—this area itself calls for a pullback.
My plan from yesterday was shared in advance too, so everyone could discuss and exchange ideas together.
But the market moved today, and price action has changed—so the trading approach needs to be adjusted as well.
One more point everyone should pay attention to:
In recent days, ETH has been one of the stronger assets in the market.
When BTC has been ranging earlier, ETH instead kept strengthening.
So some friends who were shorting ETH at high levels earlier had their short positions already stopped out after the price rose.
Why?
Because this round of ETH gains isn’t just a simple rebound following BTC—it’s driven by its own capital inflows.
When a strong asset pulls back, you can’t only look at the drop; you also need to see whether there’s support underneath.
Right now, ETH has fallen from around 1,980 to around 1,870.
On a larger cycle basis, the upside pressure remains high, and the bearish thesis hasn’t changed.
But in the short term, some space has already been released.
At this position, if you keep chasing a short, there’s an easy problem to run into:
You got the direction right, but the entry location is wrong.
The morning plan:
Wait for long opportunities around 1,880-1,860.
Currently, the price is hovering around this area.
For the short term, first watch 1,860 support.
If 1,860 holds:
For the rebound, watch around 1,910-1,920.
If the rebound reaches here but lacks strength, then consider shorting again.
Many people ask:
“Aren’t you bearish? Why don’t you short directly now?”
My view:
Big-picture direction and short-term timing need to be separated.
Being bearish doesn’t mean you short every single spot.
Shorting near 1,980 is because the location is suitable.
But shorting around 1,870 now has a different risk-reward profile.
A truly comfortable short isn’t one you chase in the middle of the decline.
It’s one you look for after price rebounds back to a resistance area.
The market changes every day, and trading ideas also need to be adjusted.
Yesterday I saw resistance at 1,980.
Today I’m watching support at 1,880-1,860.
This isn’t changing direction—it’s responding according to how price moves.
Trading isn’t about who keeps their viewpoint unchanged forever.
It’s about who can keep up with the market’s rhythm.
Big-picture bearish, and short after waiting for the right levels in the short term.
That’s trading. $BTC $ETH #Bitmine持有578万枚ETH