Trump has clarified the timing of his visit to China, which differs somewhat from many people's speculation. While checking hotels is a good method, Trump unfortunately doesn't play by the rules.

At the same time, Trump's message reveals another key point: whether the Middle East situation can be stabilized smoothly is critical to a successful China visit.

Whether Trump can visit China is crucial to his midterm election success rate, so the necessity of the visit doesn't need elaboration. Trump himself has also made clear that the prerequisite for the visit is stabilizing the Middle East situation. Therefore, Trump must resolve the Middle East conflict by May 14th.

So Trump has compelling reasons to push for ceasefire negotiations. Many people previously said the Middle East war could last a very long time and become a prolonged conflict. If that were the case, Trump's midterm elections would essentially fail. Once the midterm elections fail, the anti-war sentiment within the US is so strong that losing control of Congress would likely result in Trump facing immediate impeachment. Then it wouldn't be his call whether to withdraw, and it would be in the most "humiliating" manner.

If you were Trump, what would you choose? Is it more important to fight Iran to the bitter end, or is the midterm election more important?