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美联储決議前夜,該怎麼做?
今晚凌晨將迎來美聯儲3月利率決議,市場普遍偏鷹,恐慌情緒蔓延。但在我看來,利空預期已提前消化,真正落地反而容易走反向行情。
1. 預期先行
市場早已計價"降息推遲、高利率更久",真落地大概率是靴子落地、利空出盡。
2. 資金面堅挺
BTC ETF持續淨流入,巨鯨持倉穩定,大資金沒有出逃,下方支撐很強。
3. 結構未壞
日線依舊多頭結構,71000支撐有效,四小時級別正常回踩調整,不是反轉。
操作思路:
決議前不盲目恐慌,支撐附近低吸為主,72500附近可佈局多單,短線看74000,長線看78000-79000,有效跌破71000則止損觀望。#BTC