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黃金白銀大漲後回調是否見大頂?先看白銀,白銀1980年第一波下跌用了2個月,跌幅達到76%;2011年第一波下跌十天內快速跌了35%;2026年第一波跌幅更狠,8天不到47%,雖然有工業需求支撐著,但這個跌幅說明當下投機相對比例更甚。所以黃金白銀是否還有新高,我會更傾向於黃金有但白銀難有新高。
雖然歷史樣本很小,但如果參考宏觀更接近的2011年,那麼4個月內如果有機會反彈跌幅的61.8%,也就是國際銀價的倫敦銀100附近是解套機會,不是加倉機會。
$PAXG $XAG #白银 #黄金