一凡论市

Late at night, I still can't help but sigh for friends who are holding long positions stubbornly.
I, Fan, have repeatedly emphasized that in the current trend, one should go with the flow and look for opportunities to short. However, there are always some persistent people who refuse to listen. Ultimately, my influence is limited; I cannot wake those who deliberately pretend to sleep, nor can I make more people choose the right path.
I believe many people are now unable to sleep due to being caught in a losing position. I share my judgments day after day with sincerity, not for personal ga

Brothers and sisters, Old Te is causing trouble again. Market uncertainty is increasing, and there's a risk of a sharp decline right at the Monday open.
Everyone must stay alert, strictly control your positions, implement risk management, prioritize stability, and avoid blindly holding onto positions.

$BTC Non-farm payrolls suppress liquidity, BTC short-term oscillates slightly weaker
Last night, the US March non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate fell back, pushing the market's expectations for a Fed rate cut further back, and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose. This is not good news for BTC — liquidity is unlikely to loosen in the short term.
Meanwhile, the Middle East situation remains unresolved, the Strait of Hormuz risk persists, oil prices fluctuate at high levels, and global markets' concerns about inflation rebound intensify. As long as oil prices do

Currently, the market is just consolidating and grinding sideways. The longer the market ranges continue, the easier it is to break people's mental resilience.
At this point, the real test is not technical skills, but whether you can stay calm and not panic.
If you still have open positions that haven't been dealt with, don't delay any longer.
Clear your mind, plan your strategy, and follow the rhythm to execute.
The sooner you address problems, the more proactive you are.
Don't get trapped by temporary fluctuations and miss out on future opportunities.
One sentence:
Stay calm, m

Yifan Trading Performance Sharing
Since the 25th of last month, I have repeatedly emphasized that a rebound is an opportunity to short. The recent major trend confirms a bearish outlook, and I have also repeatedly reminded everyone that those looking to position for medium- and short-term trades should seize the opportunity to enter now. This is the last wave of entry opportunities in the near future.
I believe that friends who follow Yifan's posts daily have now all comfortably made gains! Over the past 10 days, I have consistently adhered to the strategy of shorting on rebounds. Every entry

It's not about having many orders, but about quality! Yifan places only 1-3 orders daily, with a large potential for 1000 points or more. Focusing on 1-3 orders a day is enough to grasp the profits, avoiding repeated order placements and blind operations, which can lead to mistakes and a vicious trading cycle!
Recently, I have been consistently dedicated to precision, with daily analysis posts updated on time. Brothers who keep up with the rhythm can generally secure steady profits.
Fans of the Repositioning Squad follow the strategy closely—completing their day with just 1-3 orders, watch

$BTC is wearing down everyone's patience. ⏳
Prices have been fluctuating within the current range for nearly two months.
Looking back at historical data, this "dead water period" is often the calm before the storm:
• Historical pattern: The previous three similar range consolidations lasted 64-79 days.
• Subsequent movement: Once broken, the rally is at least 14%.
• Time window: At this pace, a breakout could happen within the next two weeks.
But don’t get too excited too early. Based on the current market structure, bears seem to have the upper hand. If support is broken, the first target be

Will the Non-Farm Payrolls data be distorted? Fed’s Daly says: Don’t just focus on the employment numbers!
Fed’s Mary Daly’s recent remarks may be changing the benchmark for how we observe macroeconomic trends.
Employment numbers are no longer the only thing to watch: Daly believes that it’s not necessary to create as many new jobs each month to maintain the employment rate. This means that even if the Non-Farm data “shrinks,” it doesn’t necessarily indicate that the economy is weak.
The unemployment rate is the “true indicator”: Compared to employment numbers, fluctuations in the unemployment

Saturday Morning Analysis
Intraday BTC fluctuated within the range of 66,000-67,500, with volatility gradually converging. The impact of news in the evening was limited, and with the US stock market closed, market activity remained subdued. The high-altitude short-selling strategy was accurately realized at midnight, and the white session short positions were successfully closed. In the evening, new short positions were added and held, awaiting a breakout in the market.
From the chart perspective, the weak oscillation pattern of Bitcoin remains unchanged, with the rebound strength continuing t

April 4th, Saturday, evening analysis.
From a technical structure perspective, on the 4-hour chart, the trading channel continues to trend narrowly downward. Price oscillates weakly and continues to decline without forming a significant rebound. Volume shows a weak bullish pattern, and moving averages are trending downward with consistent alignment. The short-term trend remains predominantly bearish.
On the daily chart, the trading channel also continues downward. Price remains in a weak consolidation, and after a sharp drop, there is no effective rebound. Bearish volume continues to decrease,

Friday, 4.3, Yifan Evening Market Analysis
The four-hour chart is under pressure from the lower Bollinger Band, with candlesticks alternating between bullish and bearish, repeatedly oscillating. The 67,000 level shows a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with indecisive battle. Although the hourly chart has slightly rebounded to test the middle and upper bands, the retracement momentum is clearly weak. This rebound is likely just a trap set by the main players to induce long positions and shake out weak hands. Ahead of the non-farm payroll data, the market direction is already clear. The main

As the key data window is approaching, the U.S. March non-farm payrolls will be released tonight at 20:30. The market generally expects employment data to show a mild improvement, moving away from the sluggish conditions seen earlier.
Due to holiday arrangements today, trading is paused for U.S. stocks, gold, crude oil, and other commodities. Market liquidity has declined somewhat, and the near-term price action is relatively stable. But the expectation gap driven by the data and policy signals will very likely intensify and take shape next week, triggering period-by-period volatility.
At the

April 3rd Morning Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC) remains within a narrow range around the thousand-point level, with a rebound up to approximately 67,400 and a retracement down to around 66,500, showing relatively limited volatility. Although there are no major trend opportunities, trading within this range allows for rhythm control, and short-term trading still offers ample profit potential.
From the current market view, Bitcoin shows no significant change compared to midnight, with the price oscillating around the 67,000 level. The hourly chart displays a alternating pattern of small candles, in

Going to sleep now, need to earn some living expenses. It's too late; I'll continue tomorrow.

It's okay to take a small short position first. Get a feel for the rhythm, don't go all-in and hold firm. Keep a good defensive position, and just go for it directly.

The callback is an opportunity for everyone. We inform everyone daily, and recently, we've been focusing on Kong, focusing on Kong, as we already mentioned to everyone in the chart long ago.

Every day, the point position space, where to hit, is given entirely. Thousands of points of space are available daily. Whether you can catch it depends on your personal execution ability.
Since BTC couldn't break through 72,000 several times, I've been reminding everyone daily: a pullback is a short, and the rhythm is just sending everyone to the exit. Follow the plan, how could you not double your holdings?
Just focus on working hard, the market will reward you in its own time. #BTC #ETH #Drift协议遭黑客攻击

The most frustrating thing in the crypto world is never losing money, but rather just after closing a position, the market suddenly soars in the direction of your holdings.
What truly torments traders is never the loss amount itself, but the misalignment that occurs after stop-losses are hit and the market immediately reverses, or after taking profits and the price skyrockets, or when unrealized gains are not taken in time and eventually turn into losses. The most painful thing is never the outcome itself, but the recurring thought in your mind: "What if I hadn't closed the position just now?"