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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's newly appointed advisors are all central bank veterans with nearly 30 years of experience, marking the first round of personnel arrangements since he took office.
On June 26, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh selected two veteran central bank economists as advisors: Daniel Covitz, one of the three deputy directors of the Research and Statistics Division, and Eric Engstrom, senior deputy director of the Monetary Affairs Division. Both are nearly 30-year veterans of the Fed, deeply familiar with its operational mechanisms. Last week, Warsh also announced the formation of five special task forces to review the central bank's communication methods, data analysis, and asset portfolio management, stating that these task forces would be composed of external experts with support from internal Fed subject matter experts.
Covitz provided material for Warsh's speeches multiple times between 2006 and 2011, when Warsh served as a Fed governor, with research covering financial stability and credit markets. Engstrom specializes in monetary policy and financial market analysis; last year, he built a model to assess the probability of different economic scenarios, estimating that by mid-2025, the "soft landing" had given way to rising risks of high inflation combined with weak growth. The two collaborated in February of this year on a study explaining why long-term Treasury yields rose during the central bank's rate-cutting cycle, attributing this to investors demanding higher compensation for the risk of adverse supply shocks and expanding federal deficits, and found no evidence that the market had lost confidence in the Fed's ability to keep inflation near its 2% target.