GoldenRaft

February 19, 2026 - In-Depth Analysis of ETH Price Action: Weekly Bear Market Trap or Daily Bottom Formation?
1. From the weekly perspective, ETH is experiencing a transition from the 2025 bull cycle to a deep correction cycle.
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·Bull Trend Exhaustion (: From 4/7/2025 (1383.45) to 8/18/2025 (4955.3), a typical weekly-level rally was completed. After a breakout and pullback, the high on 8/18 formed a potential wave top.
·Bear Channel & Breakout ): Since peaking at 4955.3, the market entered a standard bear channel. Although on 11/17, it stabilized at 2621.32

【ETH Cross-Cycle PA Analysis: 90min Breakout Confirmation, 5min Looking for Pullback Opportunity】 🎯
1. Market Cycle Assessment (Market Cycle Evaluation)
-90MIN (Context): In Bull Spike (Bullish Surge) Stage. The market has just completed a strong breakout from the bottom oscillation zone, indicating an Always In Long condition. According to Al Brooks' theory, a Spike is usually followed by a longer Channel (Channel) phase, currently in the strongest momentum release period.
-5MIN (Timing): In Buying Climax (Buyer's Peak). At the 5-minute level, continuous large bullish candles have formed a p

ETH oversold, rebound signal triggered?
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1. Market Cycle Assessment
-1D Chart: In Bear Spike & Channel ( Bear spike and channel ). The large red candle in early February (Spike) established a bearish trend, followed by a steep downward channel. The current price is far from the EMA 20, indicating an Oversold ( oversold ) condition.
-4H Chart: In a Trading Range ( trading range ) evolving phase. After yesterday’s Selling Climax ( selling climax ), a Double Bottom ( double bottom ) pattern has emerged at the 4H level, with bearish momentum tempo

ETH 1H Structure Analysis: Upward Shift in the Center of Oscillation, Bulls Attempting a Breakout 📌 Structural Breakdown (Structural Review): ETH 1H timeframe is in a Broad Trading Range (Wide Range Consolidation) phase. The bearish momentum has weakened, and the bulls have established a solid defense line between $1,900 and $1,920. The price is currently fluctuating around the flat EMA 20, in a state of energy accumulation.
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🎯 Probability Outlook (Future Scenarios):
·60% Probability: Test $2,050. The low point elevation structure indicates the market wi

ETH 4H Analysis: Bearish Momentum Weakening, Consolidation and Correction May Become the Main Theme
📌 Logical Breakdown:
From a PA perspective, the $1,901 at 2.11 and the $1,740 at 2.6 form a bottom lift. The overlap of 4H candlesticks increases, indicating that Selling Pressure ( has shifted from a "waterfall" to an "exhaustion" phase. Currently, the bulls are trying to build a Broad Trading Range ).
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📊 Key Zones:
·Upper Magnet (: $2,153 ) 2.8 Daily High@
·Lower Support (: $1,900 ) Bullish Support Zone@
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🎯 Probability

ETH Structural Breakdown! Is the Bear Hunt Already Started?🏹
1️⃣ 4H Level Official Breakdown:
The last dignity of the bulls ($1,970 support line) was lost today with increased volume. The 4H candle closed with a "bare shadow large bearish candle," directly piercing through the Fibonacci 0.5 level. This is not a retest; this is the collapse of the trend.
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2️⃣ Bearish Decline Pattern Initiated:
The standard 1H downward channel has formed, and each rebound to the EMA 20 is a precise

🚀 ETH Market Update: Major Bottoming vs. Hourly Line Frontline, Who Will Win?
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Situation: Reversal Emerging on 4H Chart
·Double Bottom Confirmed: ETH tested the lows twice around $1,740$, solidifying a strong support level.
·Trend Reversal: Price has decisively broken through the long-term downtrend line, officially shifting market sentiment from bearish to the initial stage of “Always In Long.”
·Long-term Target: If Leg 2 erupts, the upside potential could reach $2,265$ or even $2,389$.
2️⃣ Mid-term Focus: 1H EMA Battle
·Main Battlefield: Currently, the price is tightly hugg

ETH Structural Diagnosis — From "Big Drop" to "Big Horizontal" 🧠
$ETH Daily Chart Level: After a rapid liquidation (Spike), it is currently in the typical "second stage of evolution" in Price Action (PA): transitioning from a unidirectional trend to a trading range.
The most intense momentum of the bears has been exhausted, and the market is searching for a new value center.
1H Perspective: Classic 3-Legged Drop Structure 📉
Observe the 1H chart:
The reversal did not lead to an immediate reversal but instead formed a complex "three-phase decline" sideways movement.
✅ Leg 1 & 2: Highs are con

2026.2.9
$ETH Price Action Analysis: Evolution from Spike to Range.
4H Major Context:
After a strong V-shaped reversal spike at 2.8, the market has now entered a sideways trading range. EMA20 is leveling off, and the price is undergoing a breakout test, seeking bullish momentum.
1H Microstructure:
- Leg C: A wide-range bullish channel composed of 37 candlesticks.
- Leg D: The current bearish push has not yet touched the key gap from November 2021.
- Strategy: Currently in the "vacuum test" phase, with a target support at 1992.8. No rush to enter; wait for a retracement to the start of segmen

Refusing to Fight to the Death! A Review of My Two "Skewering" Operations at the ETH 2130 Resistance Level 🛡️
Faced with the weekend's big volatility, many are waiting for "divine predictions," while I am waiting for "signals." Sharing how, within 20 minutes today, I used my private indicators and risk control logic to execute a precise harvest and rapid retreat.
1️⃣ Survival Operation: At the resistance level, first act as a "trickster" then as a "believer" in practice (19:16): BTC hovers around the 60,000 mark, ETH touches the upper boundary of the 4H downtrend channel.
Logic: Observed heav

February 8, 2026 19:50 ETH 4-Hour (4H) Latest Chart and Historical Data. We can analyze the current "downtrend channel" from the perspective of price behavior (PA) structure and assess the probability of its subsequent evolution:
1. Structural Pattern Analysis: The current state of the downtrend channel is clearly visible on the chart. Since ETH dropped below $3,000 at the end of January, the price has been under the influence of a downward-sloping pressure line, accompanied by a downward-sloping support line, forming a standard large descending channel (Descending Channel).
·Current Positi

Thousands of tokens, but I only favor Ethereum: To my "heart-throbbing target" ETH 💌
Some are chasing the rollercoaster of meme coins, others are seeking romance among roses, but as a price action (PA) trader, on this day of "pursuing passion," I just want to openly confess my love—ETH. Why am I "absolutely certain" about him? The reasons are simple and hardcore:
1️⃣ He is the most "rhythmically" compatible partner
In my trading system, ETH's movements are always elegant and logical. Whether it's the 1H level breakout of the box or the steady climb of the 10-minute channel, he always precisel

BTC $60,000 Critical Battle! Is it a "Bear Trap" or a "Golden Bottom"? Professional Traders' Weekend Survival Plan 🛡️
The market keeps falling, and BTC is once again facing the life-and-death test at the $60,000 level. Instead of blindly bottom-fishing in anxiety, why not reveal your candlestick logic? As a trader who adheres to price action (PA), here are my weekend risk-avoidance and response strategies:
1️⃣ Survival Operations: Filter out noise and wait for the "structural" return
In the face of this round of sharp pullback, my primary action is not to rush into trades but to lock in the l

Trading is not gambling, but the ultimate execution of "Plan B"
ETH's fluctuations around 2100 have many people caught in a dilemma of black and white. But I believe that from a professional trader's perspective, there should be no "certainly," only "contingency plans."
Currently, my bullish plan is clear, but I leave enough buffer space to prevent being "proven wrong":
- Bullish contingency plan (Plan A): I prefer to look for support at 2050 (the previous box top) or 2030 (the channel bottom) after a break below the 2067 extreme point. If a bullish candle with more than 30% real body appears

2026.2.8 Review
Trading Instrument: ETH/USDT Perpetual Contract
Core Logic: PA Master + 20 EMA Support Logic
1. Practical Review: Stop loss is not a failure, it’s a ticket to the next profit❌ Mistakenly topping out (08:41 - 09:06)
Position Opened: 2076.41 (Short) Logic: 1H chart touches the upper boundary of the range, 5min shows a long upper shadow, thinking a pullback is coming.
Review: Although there was resistance, the price never broke below the 20 EMA. In a strong trend, EMA acts like a magnet; as long as it doesn’t break the EMA, it’s not the top.
Insight: At 09:06, I noticed a breakout

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The host mainly engages in intraday short-term trading, with Ethereum as the primary asset.

If you have any questions or want to learn about certain trading topics, you can follow and click here. We have a dedicated community that I check daily and will answer questions from fans.

ETH 10-minute (10m) chart, February 7 05:40 to February 8 06:30
This market movement is a typical "Broad Bull Channel" pattern. Under the 30% filtering mechanism of indicator B, the signals are highly rhythmic:
1. Deep Pullback and Bullish Rebound (2.7 05:40 - 2.7 20:00)
Bottoming and Rebound: The market initially experienced a significant correction, with the lowest point near 2010.
Note around 15:30, a very long lower shadow bearish candle appeared, triggering tB (despite being a bearish candle, its large displacement started a wave).
V-turn Explosion: Around 20:00, the market saw a large-bo

ETH 1 Hour (1H) Chart February 6
📉 Stage One: Rapid V Reversal
Start (2.6 08:00 - 2.7 01:00) Spike: The market started with an extreme low point at 1740 and rebounded with increased volume.
Urgency (Sense of Urgency): During this rally, almost no candlesticks had real bodies below 30%, indicating very pure bullish strength. The price quickly broke above the 20 EMA, completing the transition from a "bearish trend" to a "bullish breakout."
From 08:00 on the 8th to 05:00 on the 8th
📊 Stage Two: Pullback Confirmation and Channel Formation (2.7 01:00 - 2.7 08:00)
EMA Support Validated: The price

ETH-4H From 16:00 on January 28 to 00:00 on February 8, this extremely intense price action. This market movement is a typical "evolving from a selling climax to bottom consolidation" process.
📉 1. Crash Phase: Spike & Sell Climax (1.28 - 2.01)
Starting Point: The market begins with consolidation around 3100. Note the left side of the chart, where a full-bodied red candlestick appears and triggers a tB, followed shortly by a CX. This marks the beginning of the Spike (eruption) phase.
Accelerated Decline: As the price moves away from the 20 EMA, bearish momentum enters a frenzy. A CX is trigge