Today’s Bitcoin outlook on the 30th:

1. Declining trading volume: The current market is in a typical low-liquidity environment, with spot trading volume hitting new lows for this phase. This indicates insufficient market depth, making it easy for small funds to manipulate with “drawing lines,” and also somewhat limits the continuation of the “northbound” trend.
2. Momentum indicators: The 4-hour MACD remains in a weak zone below the zero line, and RSI hovers below the 50 threshold, not yet entering a strong zone.
3. Price action: During the rebound, the daily chart shows a pattern of gradually decreasing highs, which is a typical correction feature rather than a reversal signal.
4. This week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision and officials’ speeches have a significant impact on market risk appetite. Currently, the implied rate cut expectations in the derivatives market are very low, and macro pressures have not yet been cleared.

Trading suggestion: Rebound to around 76,000-76,500, then sell down
First 🎯75,000
Second 🎯74,000 (cautious)
If it breaks through 76,500 and stabilizes, follow the trend.