[Red Envelope] Black swan event in external markets, grateful for our great country, perhaps a golden opportunity

Weekend external conflicts suddenly escalated, with continuous gunfire, making us truly realize how precious peace is. We don’t need to fear in times of war, nor struggle to survive in chaos, but can live peacefully. [Taogu Bar]
Every era has many top talents, but whether they can succeed depends on the nation’s fortune. During wartime, many are powerless to turn the tide, but now, with a prosperous nation, all possibilities are open.
A strong country is the foundation for development. We must thank our powerful motherland. It is the country’s prosperity and confidence that keep us away from war and give us dignity; it is the protection of this land that fills us with hope for the future. I have no regrets in joining China in this life. May our motherland become stronger and more prosperous!

People are anxious this weekend, and many probably haven’t done a review. As market bulls, I’ll just share a few points.
The biggest breaking news is that many high-level officials of a certain country were attacked with precise strikes. Some say the conflict is about to end, others say countermeasures are about to begin. It’s hard to interpret too much, but most feel it’s nearing the end, and the dark market gold is falling.

First is the nuclear issue, second is the oil issue. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz affects Iran, which China imports a lot of oil from annually. There are political reasons that can’t be detailed here.

This directly impacts sectors like oil/gas, precious metals (gold, tungsten, rare earths, etc.), military industry, and chemicals.
Recently, oil and gas stocks like Tongyuan Petroleum, Intercontinental Oil & Gas, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and others have performed well. Precious metals and chemicals also show good performance.
So, it’s possible that funds are preemptively betting, leading to a strong Monday opening, benefiting intra-market funds. External news heavily influences the market; even the best sectors can see a decline the next day if tensions ease suddenly.
Additionally, industrial products with high export ratios like talc, methanol, and sulfur will also be affected by supply-side factors. I won’t specify individual stocks here.

Regarding military drones, they haven’t risen much, mostly because they are still combined with commercial aerospace and space photovoltaic themes, which have been adjusting for a long time.
If oil prices surge significantly, new energy sectors like photovoltaics and wind power might also have positive expectations. China’s photovoltaic industry is among the world’s leaders, with cost advantages becoming more prominent, accelerating global substitution. Energy-importing countries in Europe and Asia are increasing photovoltaic installations and green energy projects to reduce Middle Eastern dependence, boosting overseas orders (especially in Europe and the Middle East).
This afternoon, Elon Musk said China is rapidly moving toward a solar and electricity future, which will reduce demand for oil and natural gas.
JinkoSolar, a photovoltaic leader, has started raising prices, with an average increase of about 30%-40% from previous lows, and some modules have increased by up to 50%.
Space photovoltaic companies like GCL System Integration, JinkoSolar, Mawei Co., Ltd., and JunDa Co., Ltd. are also benefiting.

The upcoming March Two Sessions have already set the tone to include commercial aerospace in the 14th Five-Year Plan, indicating possible policy-driven capital interest.

Other news includes:

1. SpaceX may submit an IPO application as early as March, with an estimated valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion.
2. China’s first national standard system for humanoid robots and embodied intelligence has been released.

AI is primarily domestic and linked to NVIDIA’s industry chain.
Recently, domestic computing power has become significantly stronger, represented by Runze Technology, Capital Online, Hongjing Technology, and others.
Huawei-related companies like Huasheng Tiancheng, Tuowei Information, and Yuntian Lify are also notable.

NVIDIA’s earnings exceeded expectations and are expected to continue being recognized, but Monday might still face pressure.
PCB stocks like Huatian Electric, Shennan Circuit, Shenghong.
Electronic component companies like Philip Hua, Honghe Technology, and CMC Technology.
Optical fiber and optical communication stocks such as Longfei Fiber, Hengtong Optoelectronics, Zhongtian Technology, and others like FiberHome and Tenda Communication.
AI remains promising long-term, but short-term requires careful timing; consider low buying during core adjustments.

There are also price-increasing lines like MLCC and tungsten, which are part of strong trends.

In the short term, pre-holiday, Yueyue Holdings became a casualty, and Yunnan Energy Control changed hands after a four-character rise. Massive turnover led to weak to strong shifts, triggering regulatory concerns. There’s a warning about suspension, and if prices rise again, trading might halt. Hopefully, it can go further.
Continued high levels naturally benefit short-term trading, but if the market weakens, high deviation values should be approached cautiously.

I won’t elaborate further. Tomorrow, be cautious about accelerating the relay. Those interested can try low-position buying on expectations of divergence, or wait for clearer external signals before acting.
If the index drops sharply, it might be a “golden pit,” and if external conditions ease, new highs could follow.

Finally, once again, thank you to our great motherland. May it become more prosperous and stronger!
$Yunnan Energy Control (sz001896)$ $Tongyuan Petroleum (sz300164)$ $Zhangyuan Tungsten (sz002378)$