#深度创作营 Urgent Warning⚠️ The next 48 hours will determine the direction of gold prices!

Geopolitical storms are sweeping the globe, and safe-haven assets are boiling over! Last Friday before the weekend market closed, gold and silver led the surge, with London Gold breaking through $5,270 per ounce, domestic Gold T+D rising above 1,155 yuan/gram, and Shanghai Gold approaching 1,160 yuan/gram. Silver also experienced a sharp increase of over 5%. All market eyes are on the opening next week, predicting intense volatility in the commodity markets. The ultimate direction of gold is only waiting for the final 48-hour test🔥

Industry insiders have clearly stated: The current gold price trend is entirely tied to the intensity of Iran’s counterattacks and the scope of conflict spread. Every evolution of the situation corresponds to a completely different path for gold’s rise or fall. There are no middle options—only clear directions!

✅ Scenario 1: Limited Counterattack, Gold Prices Fluctuate at High Levels
If Iran only conducts targeted strikes against Israel or U.S. military bases (similar actions have already occurred, with Iran using missiles and drones to attack Israeli military centers and U.S. bases in the Middle East), and does not involve the Strait of Hormuz shipping, gold will maintain its current high-level fluctuation pattern. Currently, London Gold, Shanghai Gold, and other varieties have accumulated some safe-haven premiums. In the short term, prices will fluctuate within the current range, with both bulls and bears temporarily balanced. No clear one-sided trend is expected; focus on whether the price can break through the current oscillation zone.

✅ Scenario 2: Escalation of War, Significant Rise in Gold Prices
If the conflict further spreads to Lebanon, the Red Sea, and other regions, coupled with the current halt of oil tanker transportation through the Strait of Hormuz, shipping disruptions will lead to further tightening of global energy supplies, boosting inflation expectations. At that point, gold will be driven by both “safe-haven” and “inflation” factors, resulting in a notable upward trend. London Gold could quickly break through $5,300 per ounce, and domestic gold prices will also rise accordingly. The precious metals sector may also strengthen in tandem.

✅ Scenario 3: Full-Scale War, Gold Prices Hit Record Highs
This is the most cautious and extreme scenario—if Iran officially blocks the Strait of Hormuz (which carries over 20% of global oil transportation), and the U.S. and Iran enter full-scale conflict, with the Middle East situation spiraling out of control, gold will become the ultimate safe haven for global funds. Funds will flood into gold, pushing London Gold toward historic highs. Domestic physical gold and investment gold bars will also surge in price, staging a new round of safe-haven frenzy.

Experts emphasize that the next 24–48 hours are a critical window for observing and determining gold’s high. Currently, the joint U.S.-Israel attack on Iran and Iran’s “destructive” counterattack, along with the halt of Strait of Hormuz shipping, have pushed the situation into a heated phase. Every new development will directly rewrite the trend of gold prices.

Additionally, the Vienna nuclear negotiations on March 2nd should not be overlooked. This negotiation, focused on the details of the nuclear agreement, still has unresolved core disagreements. If negotiations succeed and conflict cools diplomatically, safe-haven sentiment will retreat, and gold prices may undergo a phased correction; if negotiations break down, geopolitical risks will escalate further, providing stronger upward momentum for gold. The two outcomes will have very different impacts on gold.

Currently, gold is no longer just an investment asset but a core tool for hedging geopolitical risks. Whether you are a holding investor or a cautious observer preparing to enter the market, you must closely monitor two key signals: ① Iran’s subsequent counteractions and the status of Strait of Hormuz shipping; ② Progress in the Vienna negotiations.

In the next 48 hours, every minute could bring a reversal. Gold prices will either break through and hit new highs or undergo a sharp correction—there is no gray area. Share your thoughts in the comments: which scenario do you prefer? Let’s stay tuned to this global focus on the ultimate battle for gold prices!