【ETH 4H Technical Structure In-Depth Analysis | Key Support Broken, Downtrend Strengthened】#欧美关税风波冲击市场

Trend Qualitative and Core Evolution
Ethereum on the 4-hour chart has effectively broken below the important psychological and technical level of $3000 and continues to stay away from all cycle moving averages. This breakdown confirms the end of the previous weak oscillation structure, market sentiment has turned extremely pessimistic, and the bearish trend has entered a new acceleration phase, showing short-term unilateral downward characteristics.

Multi-Dimensional Technical Structure Analysis

1. Moving Average System and Dynamic Resistance:
· All cycle moving averages are perfectly arranged in a bearish divergence pattern. MA5 (~3008) has moved below the recently broken level, forming a strong resistance zone together with the 3000-3020 area.
· The price has deviated significantly from the moving average system, indicating strong downward momentum, but also increasing the possibility of a short-term technical rebound towards the moving averages.
2. Key Price Levels and Structural Transition:
· Resistance Reconfiguration: The $3000-3050 zone has completely shifted from a support platform to a core resistance area, which is the primary observation point for judging any subsequent rebound strength.
· Downside Target: After the breakdown, the immediate test is the previous low of $2914.50 marked on the chart. If this level cannot hold, the next technical target points to the $2850 level or even lower weekly support levels.
3. Momentum Indicators Verification:
· MACD: The dual lines are accelerating downward below the zero axis, and the histogram bars are lengthening again, indicating that bearish momentum is still being released and shows no signs of exhaustion.
· Volume: During the breakdown, trading volume increased, confirming the validity of the decline, with some panic selling in the market.
· RSI: The value is 21.51, entering a severely oversold zone. However, in the current smooth downtrend, caution should be taken regarding the indicator’s dulling phenomenon, and the oversold signal alone has limited reference value.

Future Core Observation and Projection

1. Rebound Confirmation Resistance: Focus on the potential rebound after testing support around 2915. If the rebound cannot reach or even approach the $3000 level, it will be considered a weak rebound, and the downward trend is likely to continue.
2. Conditions for Bottom Formation: The true trend reversal takes time. Observe whether the price can build a stabilization structure such as “bullish divergence” or “consolidation platform” around key support levels on the 4-hour chart, accompanied by momentum indicator recovery.
3. Impact of Leading Coins: ETH’s breakdown resonating with BTC has strengthened the overall market bearish atmosphere. Whether ETH can stabilize also partly depends on BTC’s performance at key support levels.
(ETH leading the main sector breakdown, market volatility intensifies.)