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Lately, I've been watching the weekly chart of Bitcoin, and the more I look, the more interesting it becomes. The current trend is almost a twin brother of the early 2022 period—both experienced a fierce plunge first, then several months of bottoming out, forming circles on the chart, and then failing to hold, breaking down directly from the ascending channel.
It's a bit heartbreaking to say. You think the bottom is right in front of you, only to find that the real bottom won't appear until November. This repeated probing process is a psychological battle for holders. Weekly-level movements often represent the direction of the larger cycle; once support is broken, there is usually room for further decline.
Looking at historical benchmarks, similar weekly patterns have occurred several times, each time first destroying optimistic technical expectations before a true reversal occurs. There may still be fluctuations in the short term, but this kind of large-scale pattern is definitely worth paying attention to. For investors with a long-term allocation mindset, this kind of decline might actually be a window of opportunity.