2026-01-17 04:00:41

The "roller coaster" experience in the crypto world is changing

Last year, Bitcoin briefly hit a record high of over $126,000, but by the end of the year, it fell back to around $89,000. The fluctuations were truly astonishing. However, a closer look reveals that this round of volatility is quite different from the previous "illogical surges and crashes."

The current market is more driven by macro fundamentals—Federal Reserve policy adjustments, geopolitical events, regulatory attitude changes—all of which directly influence the trend. In other words, the market is beginning to have "reasons" and is gradually aligning more with the characteristics of traditional financial assets. #比特币2026年行情展望 $BTC
What does this mean? Short-term risk-seeking investors are more likely to get caught in traps, but if you extend your perspective, market volatility is gradually converging, and risk is becoming more controllable, which actually presents opportunities for long-term participants. The key is not to treat this phase of volatility as a secret to getting rich quickly.

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DAOTruant

· 1h ago

To be honest, the drop from 126,000 to 89,000 shows that the market has indeed matured and is no longer purely driven by emotions. Wait, macro drivers are a good thing, at least there is some logic behind it, much more comfortable than those inexplicable crashes. Long-term holders have indeed made money, while short-term profit-takers are probably still cutting losses, haha. The current wave of volatility should still need to wait for convergence; it's too early to say it's stable now. Basically, it's just becoming more like traditional finance, and the crypto world will never return to the era where anything bought would just go up.

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Rekt_Recovery

· 1h ago

ngl the fed moves hit different when ur actually watching charts instead of just yolo-ing 126k peaks... been there, got liquidated. recovery's looking more like actual investing now, less like gambling with extra steps lol

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HodlTheDoor

· 1h ago

A game of short-term fooling, only in the long run is it truly a game of chips. --- 12.6 to 8.9... this wave of fluctuations was really intense, but finally it's not purely based on luck. --- Reasonable fluctuations are always better than mindless surges and crashes, at least there's a logical excuse haha. --- A decline with a reason and a decline without a reason feel completely different emotionally. --- When the Federal Reserve sneezes, the crypto circle catches a cold. Does this count as finally entering the market... --- Long-term holders remain very calm, but short-term dollar-cost averaging traders should be careful not to step into traps.

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defi_detective

· 1h ago

126,000 drops to 89,000. This pullback is a bit harsh, but to be honest, the logic is clearer, which is actually a good thing.

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DeFiDoctor

· 1h ago

The consultation records show that the process of dropping from 126,000 to 89,000 is actually the market "getting a check-up"—gradually shifting from pure speculation to being driven by fundamentals, with clinical symptoms improving significantly. The problem is that most short-term investors can't distinguish whether this is a response to treatment or a worsening of the condition.

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GasFeeDodger

· 2h ago

From mindless surges and crashes to "reasoned" volatility, this shift is actually quite subtle. Long-term players are indeed more favored. But honestly, most people are still the ones getting cut in the short term... Macro-driven narratives sound professional, but who can truly accurately predict the Federal Reserve and geopolitical events? It's still a gamble. The recent talk about convergence risk and increased controllability seems a bit overly optimistic. From 12.6 to 8.9, is that really convergence? I think it's more like a shakeout. Long-term players have their chance, and those who suffer short-term losses also arrive. Don't put too much faith in fundamental-driven narratives; in the end, it's still about capital and sentiment.

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