Regarding the discussion on whether XRP can break the hundred-dollar mark, the community has never lacked jokesters. But what truly deserves attention is the silent transformation happening in its underlying logic.

Currently, XRP is fluctuating around $1.9. The idea of doubling in the short term indeed sounds like a dream. However, while we are still watching the candlestick charts, the core driving force supporting XRP has quietly shifted — from a phase of conceptual speculation to a period of dual spiral ascent driven by scarcity compression and actual application needs.

Many people are familiar with Bitcoin's halving cycle, but the native supply design of XRP is quite commonplace. The brilliance of this mechanism lies in: XRP's total supply is locked at 100 billion tokens, and no new tokens can be mined. Every on-chain transaction permanently destroys some tokens — although each amount is small, it is a continuous and irreversible consumption process.

From another perspective, this "more frequent use leads to tighter supply" model actually surpasses Bitcoin's fixed halving logic in flexibility. Once network activity increases, accelerated destruction will follow. According to some market analyses, if on-chain activity density surges to a certain level over the next ten years, it could reduce the circulating supply by about 40%. From a pure scarcity perspective, this compression alone could push the price toward around $4.17.

And this is only the first half of the mechanism restructuring. The real variable comes in the second half — when financial institutions and cross-border payment systems start to treat this chain as infrastructure, the demand curve will be completely rewritten.