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Seeing the recent discussions about the global economic situation, I want to talk about an often overlooked perspective: the deep impact of long-term economic cycles on the cryptocurrency market.
Historically, the 30-year economic cycle has become particularly significant today. Many focus on privacy coins like XMR—indeed, they gain ample liquidity during stable times due to their privacy features. But there's a question worth pondering: once global tensions rise, countries will prioritize recognizing and regulating their own issued fiat currencies to safeguard economic sovereignty. In this context, can the so-called dark web economy truly operate without hindrance?
A more realistic scenario is that as regulations tighten, currency circulation outside sovereign jurisdictions will inevitably be restricted. The prosperity of the dark web is fundamentally a product of peace; what happens if this premise changes?
The same logic applies to AI. Currently, major supercomputing centers concentrate vast computational power, which is a competitive advantage during peaceful times. But if tensions escalate, could these critical nodes become targeted for crackdown?
Therefore, what we truly need is an asset that can preserve value amid uncertainty—one that doesn't rely on centralized supercomputing nor is fully controlled by any single country. AR is worth paying attention to under this logic, along with its smart contract layer AO and the decentralized AI network APUS. The common point among these projects is: they are distributed, difficult for a single authority to interrupt, and can maintain basic functions in any environment.
Economic warfare may arrive before hot conflicts. Preparing asset allocations in advance might be more important than chasing hot trends.