#Strategy加仓BTC Many people watch the candlestick charts, but few notice the real signals hiding over in Washington.

Why can't Bitcoin hold above $100,000? On the surface, opinions vary—market panic, profit-taking, large holders dumping. But if you dig deeper, you'll find an invisible chain: the U.S. Treasury is stuck, with over $150 billion in liquidity frozen.

The government shutdown crisis has put the U.S. Treasury in a bind, and this "vital water" that should be flowing into the market has been delayed. The crypto world, highly sensitive to capital movements, naturally becomes the first place to feel the drought. Without this wave of policy-driven funds, the market is like a body with blocked circulation—price declines are just the most obvious symptom.

In the short term, markets sway on sentiment; in the long term, they rely on narratives. But ultimately, capital flow decides everything. When funds are flowing freely, the market is vibrant; when liquidity stalls, even the strongest consensus must bow. This is the truth of the market—brutal but traceable.

So, when will there be a turning point?

Don’t guess the bottom on the intraday chart. The real source of signals isn’t in the order book of exchanges, but on the U.S. Treasury’s ledger. Once the government resumes normal operations, this huge "water tap" will be reopened, and the suppressed institutional demand will surge along with the liquidity rebound. At that moment, $BTC ’s rebound will be more than just a technical correction—it will be an explosive release after being heavily suppressed. $ETH will also benefit from this.

The biggest test right now isn’t trading skills, but mindset. The market’s downturn is actually a period of cultivation—some are cutting losses and fleeing the top, while others are accumulating chips. The market is never eternally low; it’s just waiting for a moment—waiting for financial blood to flow again, waiting for the market’s pulse to beat anew.

So, stay steady. The fresh water will come, and the key is whether you can hold on until that moment.