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美联储3月可能降息?专家预测年中利率降至3%-3.25%
【区块律动】澳新银行G3经济体研究主管最近放出了个重磅观点:别看美联储1月可能按兵不动,但说降息周期要长期暂停的人都没搞清楚情况。
按他的分析,美联储根本不会闲着。3月大概率会把联邦基金目标利率砍掉25个基点,6月再来一刀。这样一来,到了年中时候,目标利率就能降到3.00%-3.25%这个区间。
为啥他这么笃定?理由其实也明白:之前关税推高物价的影响会逐步退散,工资增长趋势在放缓,房贷利率也在降温。这些因素叠加起来,2026年美国通胀就能慢慢缓和。对持仓加密资产的各位来说,美联储的动向直接影响资金面,这个信号可得好好看。