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1. Market Overview
According to the provided candlestick data, Bitcoin's current latest closing price is $95,450. Over the past 14 days, Bitcoin's price has been steadily trending upward, with the lowest point at $85,110.2 and the highest reaching $96,647.9. Notably, in the last 2 days, both trading volume and volatility have significantly increased, with the largest daily volume occurring on the day closing at $95,414, reaching 15,708.7 BTC. In the past 48 hours, hourly K-line charts show that the price has continuously climbed from around $91,175.8 to $95,450, demonstrating a strong breakout tendency above the $95,000 level. Overall market liquidity is abundant, with active short-term speculation. Market sentiment, influenced by recent news and analyst expectations of new highs, generally exhibits some FOMO, but some viewpoints remain cautious about whether key resistance levels can be sustained.
2. Technical Analysis
From 14-day daily data, Bitcoin has risen from the $85,000 range to above $95,000, with predominantly bullish candles in the past 8 days. The overall intra-day performance shows high-level oscillation with ample upward momentum. The highest point on the 14-day candlestick chart appears at the latest high of $96,647.9, with the lowest at $85,110.2. Key support levels are at $90,000 and above, with a significant resistance at $95,647.9 (latest high). Further resistance is at the $96,647 level. In the past 48 hours, hourly data indicates that Bitcoin has received concentrated support in the $92,000-$93,000 range, repeatedly testing and breaking through the $95,000 mark, with increased volatility but an overall upward trend. Volume peaks coincide with price increases, showing good volume-price coordination.
3. News and Policy Interpretation
Recent news has boosted market sentiment, including Strive's successful acquisition of Semler Scientific, which directly increased its BTC corporate reserve to 12,797.9 BTC, making it the eleventh-largest corporate holder globally. This industry merger is seen as a positive signal for Bitcoin mainstream adoption and corporate asset allocation trends. Meanwhile, multiple media outlets are focusing on Bitcoin's push toward $100,000, with some analysts expecting a rapid return to these levels to further trigger retail FOMO. Policy-wise, no new regulations have been introduced in the past month, maintaining a stable compliance environment conducive to market sentiment. Short-term policy risks and regulatory changes are limited.
4. Analyst Opinions
The main divergent views among analysts are as follows:
1. "BTC has reached the second take-profit level at 96,800, and can be fully sold, no longer tracking."
2. "The biggest resistance above remains around 94,000, with support at 90,000 and slightly above at 90,500. The fluctuation range is about 4,000 points. Currently, it’s converging and ready to explode. In December, I talked about bullish hopes at 94,000 (already reached), 97,000, and $100,000, then falling back to $50,000 for bottom-fishing."
3. "Since it’s reached, take half profits."
4. "Tonight, I will continue to hang on and make the ninth attempt, no hesitation."
Overall, analysts generally focus on key resistance at $95,000-$97,000, most suggesting partial profit-taking in stages, leaning toward gradually reducing positions at high levels. Some believe that strong support exists below at $90,000. From actual market performance, the price has quickly broken through the $94,000 resistance mentioned by analysts, with no significant pullback yet, reflecting relatively strong market momentum that exceeds initial pressure expectations.
5. Future Trend Forecast and Operational Suggestions
Based on current candlestick and volume analysis, Bitcoin remains strong after high-level oscillation. Hourly volume has effectively increased after breaking through $92,500, with excellent closing at high levels, indicating potential for further challenge toward $96,600 or even $100,000. Support and risk control suggestions:
- Key support zones: $93,500-$94,000 (repeatedly confirmed on hourly charts). If broken again, watch $91,300 (main area of long-short turnover on hourly chart).
- Resistance above: If volume stabilizes above $96,647.9, the target will be the $100,000 mark.
- Operational advice: Holders at high levels can follow analyst suggestions to take profits gradually, monitor whether $94,000 is lost to adjust short-term positions; during pullbacks below $93,500, consider small speculative entries, with risk control below $91,300.
6. Risk Warning
Bitcoin is currently in a high-level region historically, with active volume and significant price fluctuations, with daily amplitude approaching 4,000 points. Until it can effectively break and stabilize above $96,600, beware of high-level pullbacks. If the price falls below $93,500 with increased volume, a phase correction may occur. Although overall policy remains unchanged, recent news stimuli have increased short-term market sentiment, so chasing highs requires attention to profit-taking pressure and sudden market changes. In summary, Bitcoin’s trend is relatively strong and oscillating; operational focus should be on dynamic adjustment of key support and resistance zones, seizing opportunities for partial profit-taking, while guarding against sharp declines and sudden risks at high levels.