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The competition for the next Federal Reserve Chair enters the final sprint, with market predictions showing large fluctuations
According to the latest data from Polymarket, the race for the Federal Reserve Chair has become intense, with the chances of several top candidates fluctuating frequently over the past few days.
The current standings are as follows:
Kevin Warsh #美国民主党BlueVault : 40% chance of winning, up 6 percentage points today, currently leading
Kevin Hassett (: 38% chance, also up 7 percentage points, close behind
Christopher Waller ): 9% chance, down 6 percentage points
Rick Rieder (: 7% chance, up 6 percentage points today
The "Two Kevins" form a clear first group, but market focus has shifted to Rick Rieder, who is ranked fourth. This executive from BlackRock has confirmed he will meet with Trump and Treasury Secretary Yellen this Thursday to discuss the nomination. This crucial meeting is likely to once again rewrite market expectations.
The selection of the Federal Reserve leader is vital for the crypto market, as different policy-oriented chairs could bring very different interest rate environments and regulatory attitudes.
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