#密码资产动态追踪 U.S. December CPI data is about to be released, and the market has been eagerly awaiting the follow-up trend. The previously released PPI data has already provided an important signal—month-on-month increase of only 0.2% (market expectation 0.4%), year-on-year 3.3% (expected 3.5%), especially core PPI year-on-year at 3.5%, significantly lower than the expected 3.8%. This set of data strongly validates the trend of a mild slowdown in inflation and has also boosted market expectations for the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates in March—CME's "FedWatch" tool shows the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has risen to 27.6%.

From a technical perspective, gold is currently oscillating within the 4570-4600 range, repeatedly testing this zone. The key support level is around 4573; whether this level can hold determines the short-term trend. If support is effective, gold has the chance to re-attack the 4600-4610 resistance zone; but if it breaks below 4570, the next target points to 4550.

Trading ideas for the current market:

**Bearish strategy**: Consider short positions in the 4595-4605 range, with a stop-loss at 4615, and a profit target near 4575. If broken, look further down to 4550.

**Bullish strategy**: Establish long positions around 4570-4577, with a stop-loss at 4560 as a safety net, targeting around 4595, and continue to look for a breakout above 4615.

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