Sinyal dasar pasar muncul? Indeks keserakahan mengungkapkan kemungkinan rebound Bitcoin

【币界】New Year has begun, although the market appears somewhat quiet, the sentiment is gradually warming up. The most interesting thing is that the moving average of the greed and fear index now shows a very clear bottom pattern—this pattern has often appeared around Bitcoin bottoms in history.

In other words, the probability of the current price rebounding upward seems to be greater than the risk of another sharp decline. Of course, this does not mean that Bitcoin will immediately soar to its all-time high. But as market sentiment stabilizes, the probability of a downward trend being effectively contained continues to increase.

This scene contrasts sharply with late October last year. At that time, analyses were warning of a possible larger adjustment. So from that point in time, the market indeed experienced some twists and turns.

Looking towards 2026, investors who only do long positions will not have an easy time. But those who are disciplined and able to trade flexibly are very likely to stand out from this wave of market movements. This is the so-called dividing line between winners and losers—it’s not about how accurate your judgment is, but how rigorous your execution is. The market always rewards traders who can follow the trend and act in accordance with their knowledge and actions.