#XRP - Bottoming Thesis Below 200 SMA :

This Weekly #XRP chart presents a VERY interesting diminishing downside structure relative to the 200 SMA.
Let’s break it down carefully:
🏳️First major cycle low:
▫️#XRP bottomed roughly: ~60% below the 200 SMA
🏳️Second major cycle low:
▫️#XRP bottomed roughly: ~40% below the 200 SMA
🏳️Now applying the same diminishing downside behavior:
▫️Potential next major low: ~20% below the 200 SMA
▫️That currently projects toward: 🎯 ~$0.93
🏳️And honestly… this is NOT an unreasonable thesis. Why?
Because mature assets tend to experience:
✅ Reduced downside volatility
✅ Smaller capitulation percentages
✅ Stronger macro support structures
✅ More institutional liquidity stabilization
🏳️This is called: Diminishing downside expansion.
▫️In simple words: As an asset matures over multiple cycles, the magnitude of collapses tends to shrink over time.
🏳️What makes this thesis compelling is that:
📌 #XRP is still respecting the long-term macro ascending trendline
📌 The 100 SMA and 200 SMA continue acting as cyclical equilibrium zones
📌 Historical panic phases are becoming progressively shallower
📌The current structure suggests: #XRP may no longer require catastrophic 60–80% capitulations to establish macro bottoms.
📌Now…does this guarantee $0.93 becomes the exact bottom? ❌ No.
📌But structurally: It is a VERY logical probabilistic framework.
🏳️Especially if:
✅ Weekly structure remains intact
✅ Macro trendline continues holding
✅ 200 SMA keeps rising over time
🏳️This is not prediction. This is probabilistic structural analysis.
🏳️Structure > Emotions.